Predictions for Twins vs. Mariners: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 30

Sunday’s game at T-Mobile Park has the Seattle Mariners (47-38) going head to head against the Minnesota Twins (46-37) at 4:10 PM ET (on June 30). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Mariners, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Twins vs. Mariners Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Mariners Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Twins vs. Mariners Betting Lines

Twins vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -120 +100 7 -102 -118

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 56 games this year, and has walked away with the win 36 times (64.3%) in those games.
  • The Twins have a mark of 31-20 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -120 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 39 of 82 chances this season.
  • The Twins had a 10-4 record in the 14 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Minnesota and its opponents combined to go over the total nine times.

Mariners Betting Insights

  • Seattle has been the moneyline underdog 34 total times this season. It has finished 15-19 in those games.
  • The Mariners have a 14-11 record (winning 56% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer.
  • Seattle has combined with opponents to go over the total 35 times this season for a 35-47-3 record against the over/under.
  • In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Mariners had a record of 1-4.
  • Seattle and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Twins vs. Mariners Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Joe Ryan

  • The 28-year-old has pitched to a 3.31 ERA this season with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.4 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • When Joe Ryan starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-7.
  • Ryan’s team is 8-8 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Ryan have a 7-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Castillo

  • Over 17 games this season, the 31-year-old has amassed a 3.79 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .241 to opposing batters.
  • The Mariners have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Castillo’s starts this season, and they went 2-4 in those matchups.
  • Over Castillo’s 17 starts, his team is 8-9.
  • Castillo’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 17 games.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 46-37
Home 23-16
Road 23-21
One-Run Games 14-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 33-6

Mariners’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-38
Home 28-13
Road 19-25
One-Run Games 18-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-2

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