Predictions for Red Sox vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 3

Wednesday’s game that pits the Boston Red Sox (45-39) versus the Miami Marlins (30-55) at LoanDepot park should be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on July 3.

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Red Sox vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -130 +110 8 -102 -118

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 45 games this year, and has walked away with the win 25 times (55.6%) in those games.
  • The Red Sox have a win-loss record of 17-10 when favored by -130 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of 84 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Red Sox went 5-4 across the nine games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total 10 times (all 15 games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has put together a 27-43 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.6% of those games).
  • The Marlins have a 21-34 record (winning only 38.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
  • Miami has played in 85 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-40-2).
  • In 15 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 7-8.
  • Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Red Sox vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello

  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 5.55, a 2.21 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.472.
  • Brayan Bello’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-3).
  • Bello’s team has won eight of his 14 starts this season.
  • Out of Bello’s 14 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers

  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.87, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opposing batters have a .280 batting average against him.
  • The Marlins have a 3-10 record in Rogers’ 13 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Rogers’ team has a 3-13 record in his starts this season.
  • Trevor Rogers has started 16 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-39
Home 20-23
Road 25-16
One-Run Games 10-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-4

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 30-55
Home 16-28
Road 14-27
One-Run Games 14-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 16-10

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