Predictions for Reds vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 5

By Lineups Staff | Aug 05, 2024, 2:03am | Updated: 3 weeks ago

Monday’s contest between the Cincinnati Reds (53-58) and the Miami Marlins (42-70) at LoanDepot park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Reds coming out on top. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on August 5.

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Contents

Reds vs. Marlins Matchup Info

When: Monday, August 5, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Reds vs. Marlins Predictions

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Reds vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Reds vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Reds	-143	+120	8.5	-105	-115

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Reds Betting Insights

Cincinnati has been the favorite in 50 games this season, and has come away with the win 26 times (52%) in those contests.
This year, the Reds have won 12 of 21 games when listed as at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 49 of 110 opportunities.
The Reds had a 2-6 record in the eight games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
In its past 15 outings, Cincinnati and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

Miami has compiled a 38-57 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40% of those games).
The Marlins have a record of 24-42 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (36.4%).
Miami has played in 112 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 59 times (59-49-4).
In 15 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Marlins had a record of 8-7.
Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Reds vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Martínez

The 34-year-old has pitched to a 3.65 ERA this season with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.1 walks per nine across 31 games.
Nick Martinez’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
Martínez’s team has won two of his five starts.
Out of Martínez’s five starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Roddery Munoz

During 13 games this season, the 24-year-old has a 5.45 ERA and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .236 to opposing batters.
The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline in 11 of Munoz’s starts this season, and they went 3-8 in those games.
Munoz’s team is 4-8 over his 12 starts.
Roddery Munoz has had 12 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those matchups finished over the total.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split	Record
Overall	53-58
Home	28-31
Road	25-27
One-Run Games	9-20
Scoring 5+ Runs	38-8

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split	Record
Overall	42-70
Home	22-34
Road	20-36
One-Run Games	17-15
Scoring 5+ Runs	24-13

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