Predictions for Reds vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 6

By Lineups Staff | Aug 23, 2024, 8:11am

Tuesday’s contest features the Cincinnati Reds (54-58) and the Miami Marlins (42-71) clashing at LoanDepot park in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Reds according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on August 6.

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Contents

Reds vs. Marlins Matchup Info

When: Tuesday, August 6, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSOH
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Reds vs. Marlins Predictions

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Reds vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Reds vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Reds	-135	+114	8	-105	-115

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Reds Betting Insights

Cincinnati has won 27, or 52.9%, of the 51 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
The Reds have a mark of 17-13 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -135 or better on the moneyline.
Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 50 of 111 opportunities.
The Reds had a 2-6 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
In its past 15 matchups, Cincinnati and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

Miami has compiled a 38-58 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.6% of those games).
The Marlins are 29-45 (winning only 39.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
Miami has played in 113 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 60 times (60-49-4).
In 15 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins had a record of 8-7.
In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

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Reds vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Lodolo

The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.99 and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .233 in 17 games this season.
Nick Lodolo’s team is 8-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
Lodolo’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts.
Out of Lodolo’s 17 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Max Meyer

In five games this season, the 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.81, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .229 against him.
The Marlins are 3-1 in Meyer’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Meyer’s team has won three of his five starts.
Max Meyer has started five contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split	Record
Overall	54-58
Home	28-31
Road	26-27
One-Run Games	9-20
Scoring 5+ Runs	39-8

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split	Record
Overall	42-71
Home	22-35
Road	20-36
One-Run Games	17-15
Scoring 5+ Runs	24-13

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