Mavericks vs. Celtics Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – NBA Finals Game 3

By Lineups Staff | Aug 23, 2024, 2:26am

The Dallas Mavericks are 2.5-point favorites heading into Game 3 of the NBA Finals against the Boston Celtics at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Celtics lead the series 2-0.

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Contents

Mavericks vs. Celtics Game Info & Odds

Date: Wednesday, June 12, 2024
Time: 8:30 PM ET
How to Watch on TV: ABC
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Location: Dallas, Texas
Venue: American Airlines Center

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Mavericks vs. Celtics Score Prediction

Prediction:
Celtics 117 – Mavericks 111

Spread & Total Prediction for Mavericks vs. Celtics

Pick ATS: Celtics (+ 2.5)
Computer Predicted Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
Pick OU:
Over (214.5)
Computer Predicted Total: 228.0

The Mavericks have been more successful against the spread than the Celtics this year, sporting an ATS record of 48-34-0, as opposed to the 43-39-0 record of the Celtics.
Dallas covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 65.1% of the time. That’s more often than Boston covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (33.3%).
Dallas’ games have gone over the total 43.9% of the time this season (36 out of 82), less often than Boston’s games have (44 out of 82).
As a moneyline favorite this year, the Mavericks are 38-14, a better tally than the Celtics have posted (1-2) as moneyline underdogs.

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Mavericks Performance Insights

The Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) this year, while ceding 115.6 points per contest (20th-ranked).
Dallas is averaging 42.9 rebounds per game (21st-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
The Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA with 25.7 dimes per contest.
This season, Dallas is committing 12.1 turnovers per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) and forcing 13 turnovers per contest (15th-ranked).
The Mavericks rank top-five this year in three-point shooting, ranking third-best in the league with 14.6 treys per game. Meanwhile, they rank 13th with a 36.9% shooting percentage from downtown.

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Celtics Performance Insights

The Celtics are the second-best team in the NBA in points scored (120.6 per game) and fifth-best in points conceded (109.2).
On the glass, Boston is second-best in the league in rebounds (46.3 per game). It is 14th in rebounds allowed (43.3 per game).
With 26.9 assists per game, the Celtics are 14th in the league.
In 2023-24, Boston is best in the league in turnovers committed (11.3 per game) but worst in turnovers forced (11.3).
Beyond the arc, the Celtics are best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game at 16.5. And they are second-best in 3-point percentage at 38.8%.

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