Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – NBA Finals Game 4

The Boston Celtics are 1.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the NBA Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Friday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Celtics have a 3-0 lead in the series.

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, June 14, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ABC
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Celtics 117 – Mavericks 111

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Spread & Total Prediction for Celtics vs. Mavericks

  • Pick ATS: Celtics (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Celtics (-5.7)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (211.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 227.7
  • The Celtics have had less success against the spread than the Mavericks this year, recording an ATS record of 43-39-0, compared to the 48-34-0 mark of the Mavs.
  • When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Boston (42-37) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (53.2%) than Dallas (14-16) does as the underdog (46.7%).
  • When it comes to eclipsing the over/under in 2023-24, Dallas and its opponents aren’t as successful (43.9% of the time) as Boston and its opponents (53.7%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Celtics are 62-16, a better tally than the Mavericks have posted (11-18) as moneyline underdogs.

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Celtics Performance Insights

  • In terms of points, the Celtics are dominating at both ends of the court, as they rank second-best in the league in points scored (120.6 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (109.2 per contest).
  • Boston is allowing 43.3 rebounds per game this year (14th-ranked in NBA), but it has provided a lift by pulling down 46.3 rebounds per game (second-best).
  • The Celtics rank 14th in the NBA with 26.9 dimes per contest.
  • Boston ranks best in the NBA with 11.3 turnovers per game. Conversely, it ranks worst in the league with 11.3 forced turnovers per contest.
  • The Celtics are dominating in terms of three-point shooting, as they rank best in the league in treys (16.5 per game) and second-best in shooting percentage from downtown (38.8%).

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Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks score 117.9 points per game and allow 115.6, ranking them seventh in the NBA offensively and 20th on defense.
  • On the glass, Dallas is 21st in the league in rebounds (42.9 per game). It is 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1 per game).
  • This season the Mavericks are ranked 19th in the NBA in assists at 25.7 per game.
  • In terms of turnovers, Dallas is seventh in the NBA in committing them (12.1 per game). It is 15th in forcing them (13 per game).
  • The Mavericks are the third-best team in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and 13th in 3-point percentage (36.9%).

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