Dallas Mavericks vs. Brooklyn Nets NBA Player Props & Picks (2/6/24)
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The Dallas Mavericks (27-23) face the Brooklyn Nets (20-29) this Tuesday (2/6/24). Get Mavericks vs. Nets player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.
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Which players will thrive in this Mavericks vs. Nets contest?
SGP (-127 FD): Mikal Bridges 20+ Points & Kyrie Irving 20+ Points
On a per-game basis, the Dallas Mavericks surrender the fifth most corner three-point attempts and tenth most wide open three-point attempts (via NBA.com). Opponents also produce the seventh largest off-the-dribble three-point frequency against them. Therefore, outside shooters should find success against this porous Dallas defense, which ranks 23rd in Defensive Rating.
Enter Mikal Bridges, who averages the third most corner three-points attempts in the NBA and shoots 40 percent from this area. He likely sees plenty of clean looks from deep, which bodes well for his scoring. Dallas also lacks the defensive wings to throw at Bridges, so his pull-up jumper will be a weapon all night. Overall, he has played against the Mavericks once this season, and he recorded 18 points despite an awful 6/17 shooting performance from the field.
Meanwhile, Kyrie Irving faces an atrocious Brooklyn backcourt defense. Spencer Dinwiddie and Cam Thomas both lack the defensive chops to pester Irving on or off-ball. The Nets also give up the seventh most above the break three-point attempts and eleventh most wide open three-point attempts, so Irving can thrive from deep. In his only matchup against Brooklyn this season, he notched 17 points on 6/17 shooting.
If both players approach an average shooting night, then they likely both reach 20 points here. For the same game parlay to have a positive expected value, it needs to hit at least 56 percent of the time.
Nic Claxton First Nets Field Goal (+325 BMGM)
Claxton ranks second on the Nets in Team First FGA%; in other words, he takes Brooklyn’s first shot at the second largest rate behind only Mikal Bridges. Claxton faces a Dallas defense that gives up the largest restricted area field goal percentage and fourth largest put-back frequency. Whether it’s via rolls or put-backs, look for Claxton to find his groove against a Mavericks squad that allows the eleventh most points per game to centers.
Based on his odds, Claxton must record Brooklyn’s first field goal at least 23 percent of the time. Should he secure the first look, then his 64 field goal percentage bodes well for his chances of converting too.
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