Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Semifinals Game 4

The Dallas Mavericks are 2.5-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at American Airlines Center on Monday, starting at 9:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The Mavericks have a 2-1 series lead.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, May 13, 2024
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

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Mavericks vs. Thunder Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 116 – Mavericks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Mavericks vs. Thunder

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (+ 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (215.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 230.8
  • The Mavericks (48-34-0 ATS) have covered the spread 58.5% of the time, 1.2% more often than the Thunder (47-35-0) this season.
  • When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Dallas (28-15) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (65.1%) than Oklahoma City (9-7) does as the underdog (56.2%).
  • Oklahoma City and its opponents have eclipsed the over/under 56.1% of the time this season (46 out of 82). That’s more often than Dallas and its opponents have (36 out of 82).
  • As a moneyline underdog this year, the Thunder are 11-11, while the Mavericks are 38-14 as moneyline favorites.

Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks are putting up 117.9 points per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) this season, while allowing 115.6 points per contest (20th-ranked).
  • With 42.9 rebounds per game, Dallas ranks 21st in the NBA. It surrenders 45.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • So far this year, the Mavericks rank 19th in the league in assists, delivering 25.7 per game.
  • Dallas is averaging 12.1 turnovers per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) this season, while forcing 13 turnovers per contest (15th-ranked).
  • The Mavericks have a 36.9% three-point percentage this year (13th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really provided a lift by sinking 14.6 treys per game (third-best).

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • The Thunder are the third-best squad in the NBA in points scored (120.1 per game) and 11th in points conceded (112.7).
  • In 2023-24, Oklahoma City is fourth-worst in the league in rebounds (42 per game) and 23rd in rebounds conceded (44.7).
  • At 27.1 assists per game, the Thunder are 11th in the NBA.
  • Oklahoma City is the fourth-best squad in the NBA in turnovers per game (11.8) and best in turnovers forced (15).
  • The Thunder are eighth in the league in 3-pointers made (13.3 per game) and best in 3-point percentage (38.9%).
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