Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Semifinals Game 6

The Dallas Mavericks are 3.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at American Airlines Center on Saturday, starting at 8:00 PM ET on ABC. The Mavericks have a 3-2 series lead.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ABC
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

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Mavericks vs. Thunder Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 116 – Mavericks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Mavericks vs. Thunder

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (+ 3.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (208.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 230.1
  • The Mavericks’ .585 ATS win percentage (48-34-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Thunder’s .573 mark (47-35-0 ATS Record) in 2023-24.
  • Dallas (25-15) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (62.5%) than Oklahoma City (5-5) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (50%).
  • Dallas’ games have gone over the total 43.9% of the time this season (36 out of 82), less often than Oklahoma City’s games have (46 out of 82).
  • The Mavericks have a .731 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (38-14) this season, better than the .500 winning percentage for the Thunder as a moneyline underdog (11-11).

Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks are putting up 117.9 points per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) this season, while giving up 115.6 points per contest (20th-ranked).
  • Dallas is averaging 42.9 boards per game (21st-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
  • The Mavericks are putting up 25.7 dimes per game, which ranks them 19th in the NBA in 2023-24.
  • Dallas is committing 12.1 turnovers per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) this season, while forcing 13 turnovers per contest (15th-ranked).
  • The Mavericks sport a 36.9% three-point percentage this year (13th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really shined by draining 14.6 three-pointers per game (third-best).

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • In 2023-24, the Thunder are third-best in the NBA on offense (120.1 points scored per game) and ranked 11th defensively (112.7 points conceded).
  • Oklahoma City is the fourth-worst team in the NBA in rebounds per game (42) and 23rd in rebounds allowed (44.7).
  • The Thunder are 11th in the NBA in assists (27.1 per game) in 2023-24.
  • In terms of turnovers, Oklahoma City is fourth-best in the NBA in committing them (11.8 per game). And it is best in forcing them (15 per game).
  • The Thunder are eighth in the league in 3-pointers made (13.3 per game) and best in 3-point percentage (38.9%).
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