Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Finals Game 3

The Dallas Mavericks are 1.5-point favorites heading into Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves at American Airlines Center on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The Mavericks have a 2-0 series lead.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, May 26, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 113 – Mavericks 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-1.1)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (207.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 224.1
  • The Mavericks (48-34-0 ATS) have covered the spread 58.5% of the time, 8.5% more often than the Timberwolves (41-41-0) this season.
  • As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2023-24, Minnesota is 12-9 against the spread compared to the 34-18 ATS record Dallas puts up as a 1.5-point favorite.
  • When it comes to topping the point total in 2023-24, Minnesota and its opponents do it more often (50% of the time) than Dallas and its opponents (43.9%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Mavericks are 38-14, a better record than the Timberwolves have posted (10-11) as moneyline underdogs.

Mavericks Performance Insights

  • With 117.9 points per game on offense, the Mavericks are seventh in the NBA. Defensively, they allow 115.6 points per contest, which ranks 20th in the league.
  • So far this season, Dallas is pulling down 42.9 boards per game (21st-ranked in NBA) and ceding 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
  • So far this year, the Mavericks rank 19th in the league in assists, dishing out 25.7 per game.
  • This year, Dallas is averaging 12.1 turnovers per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) and forcing 13.0 turnovers per contest (15th-ranked).
  • The Mavericks rank top-five this season in three-point shooting, ranking third-best in the league with 14.6 three-pointers per game. Meanwhile, they rank 13th with a 36.9% shooting percentage from downtown.

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Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • The Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA in points scored (113.0 per game) and best in points conceded (106.5).
  • Minnesota is 15th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.6) and fourth-best in rebounds conceded (41.4).
  • This season the Timberwolves are ranked 15th in the league in assists at 26.6 per game.
  • In 2023-24, Minnesota is 19th in the NBA in turnovers committed (13.4 per game) and fifth-best in turnovers forced (13.6).
  • In 2023-24 the Timberwolves are 15th in the league in 3-point makes (12.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.7%).
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