Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Finals Game 4

The Dallas Mavericks are 1.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves at American Airlines Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The Mavericks have a 3-0 lead in the series.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, May 28, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 113 – Mavericks 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-0.8)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (212.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 224.1
  • The Timberwolves (41-41-0 ATS) have covered the spread 58.5% of the time, 8.5% less often than the Mavericks (48-34-0) this year.
  • Dallas covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point favorite or more 65.4% of the time. That’s more often than Minnesota covers as an underdog of 1.5 or more (57.1%).
  • When it comes to eclipsing the point total in 2023-24, Minnesota and its opponents are more successful (50% of the time) than Dallas and its opponents (43.9%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Mavericks are 38-14, while the Timberwolves are 10-11 as moneyline underdogs.

Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks are seventh in the NBA with 117.9 points per game so far this season. At the other end of the court, they rank 20th with 115.6 points allowed per game.
  • Dallas is 21st in the NBA with 42.9 boards per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 25th with 45.1 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • The Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA with 25.7 assists per game.
  • So far this year, Dallas is committing 12.1 turnovers per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) and forcing 13 turnovers per contest (15th-ranked).
  • The Mavericks rank third-best in the NBA by draining 14.6 threes per game. In terms of three-point percentage, they rank 13th in the league at 36.9%.

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Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • In 2023-24, the Timberwolves are 18th in the league on offense (113 points scored per game) and best on defense (106.5 points conceded).
  • In 2023-24, Minnesota is 15th in the NBA in rebounds (43.6 per game) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed (41.4).
  • With 26.6 assists per game, the Timberwolves are 15th in the NBA.
  • Minnesota is 19th in the league in turnovers per game (13.4) and fifth-best in turnovers forced (13.6).
  • The Timberwolves are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made (12.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.7%).
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