Melvin Gordon Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

In what was thought to be a solid RB choice for the 2019/20 campaign, Melvin Gordon still has a few question marks surrounding him. There’s no denying that on the field Gordon is unparalleled by many in the league, but it’s a matter of which team he will suit up for this year. Recent reports suggest that Gordon will be demanding a trade if the Chargers don’t give him a new deal. If neither of these demands are met, he will resort to now showing up to training camp. Whatever team he suits up for on opening day, there’s no denying Gordon is one of the top RBs in the league in terms of general production as well as fantasy production.

The above is the official tweet from Adam Schefter. It’s all speculation, but the Chargers may just let Gordon walk, as they went 4-0 last year when Gordon was out with a knee injury. Behind Gordon, the Chargers have Austin Ekeler, Justin Jackson, and Detrez Newsome, a pretty solid backing. Only time will tell, but wherever Melvin Gordon ends up, he’ll be a top fantasy producer in 2019.

Despite playing just 12 games in the regular season last year, Gordon finished 17th in the NFL with 885 yards and 10th in the NFL with 10 TDs. He averaged 5.1 yards per carry on 175 attempts. For reference, he finished the 2017 campaign with 284 carries through 16 games.

221.5 12 175 885 5.1 14.6 3 10 50 5.5 490 4 20.88

We currently have Melvin Gordon slotted at RB5 with a projected 1,102.0 rushing yards on 230.3 rushing attempts. We also have him slotted for 60.2 receptions and 479.5 receiving yards. Granted, these projections are all made with the idea in mind that he’ll be suiting up in a Chargers uniform to begin the season, but I can’t imagine they’d be too far off on any team he finds himself on.

Los Angeles ChargersGordon currently has an average draft position of 1.07. This is completely fair in my opinion, as he showed dominance last year in fantasy leagues across the country, despite only playing 12 games. His auction value is currently $36 out of $200, which I think is actually a steal. Gordon can be compared to New Orleans’ Alvin Kamara, who goes for $49. A savings of $13 for similar production may just be worth it.

It’s hard to predict a ceiling for Gordon when we don’t know what offensive system he’ll be a part of in 2019, but, barring injury I’m expecting him to have similar production to his 2017 season where he stayed healthy the whole year. He’s established enough for it not to feel like a big risk to grab him early on in any draft. Nothing about Gordon lends itself to the belief that he’ll have an off year anytime soon, so I wouldn’t worry about a floor for the year.

After suffering a career ending injury as a high school freshman B-team quarterback, Emmett has completely devoted himself to sports fandom. A Chicago (suburb) native, he is loyal to all his teams. He is currently a junior at Chapman University in Southern California and thoroughly enjoys Microsoft Excel.

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