Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – June 28

The Los Angeles Sparks (4-13) will look to Dearica Hamby (10th in WNBA, 17.8 points per game) to help defeat Kahleah Copper (third in league, 22.6) and the Phoenix Mercury (8-8) on June 28, 2024 at Footprint Center.

Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Friday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the matchup.

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Spread: Sparks (+10) to Cover

  • The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (8.6 points) is a little bit less than the 10-point edge DraftKings gives to the Mercury, though the data still has them as the favorite.
  • The Sparks are 8-8-1 against the spread this year.
  • In games this season in which it was an underdog by 10 points or more, Los Angeles has a 6-1 record against the spread.
  • The Mercury are 10-6-0 ATS this season.

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Total: Under 169

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is just 4.1 points highter than the model projection.
  • Mercury games have gone over 169 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, seven times (out of 16) this year.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over 169 total points scored in seven of 17 total matchups this year.
  • The teams have hit the over in seven of the Mercury’s 17 games with a set total.
  • The Sparks have hit the over in eight of their 17 games with a set total (47.1%).

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Moneyline Winner: Mercury (-588)

  • Prediction: Mercury 87, Sparks 78
  • Los Angeles has entered the game as the underdog 15 times this season and won three, or 20%, of those games.

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Mercury Leaders

  • The scoring leader for the Mercury this season is Copper, who averages 22.6 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 2.4 assists per game.
  • Natasha Mack is Phoenix’s leading rebounder, grabbing 5.6 per game, while Natasha Cloud is its best passer, averaging 7.1 assists in each contest.
  • The Mercury get the most three-point shooting production out of Diana Taurasi, who knocks down 2.7 threes per game.
  • Cloud and Mack lead Phoenix on the defensive end, with Cloud leading the team in steals, averaging 1.6 per game, and Mack in blocks, averaging 1.8 per contest.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Brittney Griner Out Toe

Sparks Leaders

  • Hamby leads the Sparks scoring, rebounding and assists leaderboards, averaging 17.8 points, 10.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game.
  • Kia Nurse is consistent from distance and leads the Sparks with 1.5 made threes per game.
  • Los Angeles’ leader in steals is Hamby with 1.5 per game, and its leader in blocks is Cameron Brink with 2.3 per game.

Sparks Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Lexie Brown Out Chron’S Disease
Cameron Brink Out For Season Acl
Julie Allemand Out For Season Ankle
Azurá Stevens Out Arm

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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