Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – May 25

The Phoenix Mercury (3-1) will attempt to continue a three-game winning run when they host the Dallas Wings (1-2) on May 25, 2024 at Footprint Center.

Our computer predictions for Saturday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.

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Spread: Wings (+5) to Cover

  • The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (2.1 points) is a little tighter than the 5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Mercury, though the data still has them as the favorite.
  • The Wings were 23-14-0 against the spread last year.
  • Dallas had an ATS record of 7-4 as an underdog of 5 points or greater last year.
  • The Mercury had 13 wins in 33 games against the spread last year.
  • Phoenix didn’t have a win ATS (0-1) as a 5-point favorite or more last year.

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Total: Under 168.5

  • The model projects a total 1.5 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
  • The Mercury and their opponent combined to score over 168.5 points, the current matchup’s total, in 11 of 36 games last season.
  • Last year, 26 Dallas’ games featured over 168.5 points scored.
  • Out of 33 Mercury games last season, 13 went over the total.
  • In 37 Wings games last season, 21 of them went over the total.

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Moneyline Winner: Mercury (-192)

  • Prediction: Mercury 85, Wings 82
  • Phoenix won two of the five games it was favored on the moneyline last season (40%).

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Mercury Leaders

  • Kahleah Copper scored 18.7 points and grabbed 4.4 boards per game last season.
  • Natasha Cloud dished out 6.2 assists per game while scoring 12.7 PPG.
  • Copper hit an average of 1.8 shots per game from beyond the arc a season ago.
  • Cloud averaged 1.1 steals per game, while Rebecca Allen collected 1.3 blocks per contest.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Brittney Griner Out Toe

Wings Leaders

  • Arike Ogunbowale scored 21.2 points and distributed 4.5 assists per game last season.
  • Teaira McCowan hauled in an average of 9.1 boards in each contest while scoring 11.9 points per game last season.
  • Ogunbowale knocked down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest a season ago.
  • Ogunbowale averaged 1.7 takeaways per game, while McCowan compiled 1.2 rejections per contest.

Wings Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Natasha Howard Out Foot
Jaelyn Brown Out Nose
Awak Kuier Out For Season Rest
Satou Sabally Out Shoulder

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.

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