Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – July 3

Arike Ogunbowale and the Dallas Wings (4-15) face Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury (9-10) on July 3, 2024 at College Park Center.

If you are trying to gain an edge on Wednesday’s game, find out the best bets available in this matchup, in the article below (according to our computer predictions).

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Spread: Wings (+4.5) to Cover

  • The model and DraftKings both have the Mercury taking home the victory, but the model has them winning by slightly less (2.4 points). Lean towards taking the Wings.
  • The Wings have gone 5-12-2 ATS this season.
  • When it has played as at least a 4.5-point underdog this season, Dallas is 4-7-1 against the spread.
  • The Mercury are 11-8-0 ATS this season.
  • Phoenix has a 2-3 record against the spread in games it was favored by 4.5 points or more this season.

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Total: Under 171.5

  • In this game, the model projects a total (167.2 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (171.5 points).
  • This season, the Mercury games have gone over 171.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, six (out of 19) times.
  • This year, seven of Dallas’ 19 total matchups have gone over 171.5 total points scored.
  • The teams have hit the over in eight of the Mercury’s 19 games with a set total.
  • A total of 11 of the Wings’ 19 games with a set total have hit the over (57.9%).

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Moneyline Winner: Mercury (-192)

  • Prediction: Mercury 85, Wings 82
  • Phoenix has won four of the six games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (66.7%).

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Mercury Leaders

  • The scoring leader for the Mercury this season is Copper, who averages 21.8 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game.
  • Natasha Mack is Phoenix’s leading rebounder, pulling down 5.2 per game, while Natasha Cloud is its best passer, distributing 7.3 assists in each contest.
  • Diana Taurasi leads the Mercury in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • The Phoenix steals leader is Cloud, who averages 1.7 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Mack, who compiles 1.6 rejections per contest.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Brittney Griner Out Toe

Wings Leaders

  • Ogunbowale’s points (23.7 per game) and assists (4.9 per game) stat lines give her the top scoring and assists spots on the Wings’ leaderboards.
  • Monique Billings grabs 8.1 rebounds per game (she also scores 10.0 points per game and adds 2.4 assists per game) which puts her at the top of the Dallas rebounding leaderboard.
  • Ogunbowale is the top shooter from distance for the Wings, hitting 3.3 threes per game.
  • Dallas’ leader in steals is Ogunbowale with 2.8 per game, and its leader in blocks is Teaira McCowan with 1.1 per game.

Wings Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Maddy Siegrist Out Finger
Jaelyn Brown Out Illness
Awak Kuier Out For Season Rest
Satou Sabally Out Shoulder

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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