Predictions for Mets vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 29

Saturday’s contest at Citi Field has the New York Mets (40-39) squaring off against the Houston Astros (40-41) at 4:10 PM ET (on June 29). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 win for the Mets, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Mets vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Astros 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Mets vs. Astros Betting Lines

Mets vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -120 +100 9 -102 -118

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 21 wins in the 39 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a mark of 15-15 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -120 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 41 of 79 opportunities.
  • The Mets went 6-3 over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to go over the total eight times.

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has won 50% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (10-10).
  • The Astros have a 5-6 record (winning 45.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer.
  • Houston has played in 81 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 29 times (29-48-4).
  • In six games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Astros had a record of 4-2.
  • Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Tylor Megill

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in seven games this season with an ERA of 4.81, a 2.69 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.426.
  • Tylor Megill and his team have lost each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
  • Megill’s team has won two of his seven starts.
  • Out of Megill’s seven starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez

  • The 30-year-old has a 3.68 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings across 13 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .244 to opposing batters.
  • The Astros were the moneyline underdog for two Framber Valdez starts this season — they split the games.
  • Valdez’s team has won six of his 13 starts.
  • Valdez’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in 13 games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-39
Home 21-23
Road 19-16
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-11

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-41
Home 24-19
Road 16-22
One-Run Games 5-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-4

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