Predictions for Mets vs. Diamondbacks: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – May 31

Friday’s game that pits the New York Mets (23-33) against the Arizona Diamondbacks (25-31) at Citi Field has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Mets. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on May 31.

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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Diamondbacks 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Mets vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -122 +102 7 -118 -102

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been the favorite in 26 games this season, and has come away with the win 12 times (46.2%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Mets have come away with a win seven times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 28 of 56 opportunities.
  • The Mets had a 1-5 record across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has been the moneyline underdog 28 total times this season. It has gone 10-18 in those games.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 7-13 record (winning just 35% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
  • Arizona has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 56 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 22 of those games (22-31-3).
  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Arizona and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 3.22, a 1.92 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.159.
  • Luis Severino’s team has won 42.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-4).
  • Severino’s team has won three of his 10 starts this season.
  • Games started by Severino have a 6-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Jordan Montgomery

  • The 31-year-old has a 4.69 ERA and 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings during seven games this season, while giving up a batting average of .287 to opposing batters.
  • The Diamondbacks have been the moneyline underdog in three of Montgomery’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
  • Montgomery’s team has compiled a 5-2 record over his seven starts.
  • Montgomery’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in seven games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 23-33
Home 12-19
Road 11-14
One-Run Games 10-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 12-10

Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 25-31
Home 13-15
Road 12-16
One-Run Games 9-6
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-5

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