Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 11

Tuesday’s game features the New York Mets (28-36) and the Miami Marlins (22-43) matching up at Citi Field (on June 11) at 7:10 PM. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 5-4 victory for the Mets.

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Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Mets vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -155 +130 7.5 -105 -115

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 15, or 50%, of the 30 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have been listed as a favorite of -155 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of 64 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mets were the moneyline favorite in six of their past 15 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has won 38% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (19-31).
  • The Marlins are 7-15 (winning just 31.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
  • In the 65 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-29-2).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and won six of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Miami and its opponents are 5-9-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Tylor Megill

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 3.00, a 2.67 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.238.
  • Tylor Megill’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Megill’s team is 1-3 when he starts this season.
  • In games Megill has started this season, the teams are 1-3-0 at hitting the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Jesús Luzardo

  • During 10 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 5.30 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .246 to opposing batters.
  • The Marlins have a 3-5 record in Luzardo’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Luzardo’s team has a 3-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Jesus Luzardo has started 10 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 28-36
Home 13-22
Road 15-14
One-Run Games 13-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-11

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 22-43
Home 12-25
Road 10-18
One-Run Games 9-7
Scoring 5+ Runs 13-8

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