Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 4

Tuesday’s contest between the Washington Nationals (27-32) and the New York Mets (25-35) at Nationals Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Nationals taking home the win. First pitch is at 6:45 PM ET on June 4.

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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 4, Mets 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Mets vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -143 +120 9 -118 -102

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 13 wins in the 28 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 3-4 when favored by -143 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 60 chances this season.
  • The Mets went 2-4 across the six games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to go over the run total nine times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington is 24-30 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 44.4% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Nationals have an 18-23 record (winning 43.9% of their games).
  • Washington has played in 59 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 26 times (26-30-3).
  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and won seven of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: David Peterson

  • He has pitched to a 3.60 ERA this season with 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.8 walks per nine across one game.
  • David Peterson has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
  • Peterson’s team lost in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Peterson with a total this season hit the over.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: DJ Herz

  • Herz’s team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 25-35
Home 13-21
Road 12-14
One-Run Games 12-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 14-11

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 27-32
Home 10-14
Road 17-18
One-Run Games 4-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 19-6

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