Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 5

Wednesday’s contest features the Washington Nationals (27-33) and the New York Mets (26-35) clashing at Nationals Park in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Nationals according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET on June 5.

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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Mets 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs

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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Mets vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -148 +124 9.5 +100 -120

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has won 14, or 48.3%, of the 29 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Mets have a mark of 1-4 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over in 32 of 61 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Mets had a 2-4 record across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to go over the total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has gone 24-31 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.6% of those games).
  • The Nationals have a 17-22 record (winning 43.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
  • Washington has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 26 times this season for a 26-30-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and won seven of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Washington and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.52, a 2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.172.
  • Luis Severino’s team has a record of 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Severino’s team has won four of his 11 starts.
  • In games Severino has started this season, the teams are 7-4-0 at hitting the over.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin

  • The 34-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.83, with 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 12 games this season. Opponents are batting .318 against him.
  • The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 12 of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 4-8 in those matchups.
  • Corbin’s team has a 4-8 record in his starts this season.
  • Corbin’s starts went over the run total six times in 12 games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 26-35
Home 13-21
Road 13-14
One-Run Games 12-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 15-11

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 27-33
Home 10-15
Road 17-18
One-Run Games 4-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 19-6

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