Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 5
Wednesday’s contest features the Washington Nationals (27-33) and the New York Mets (26-35) clashing at Nationals Park in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Nationals according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET on June 5.
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Contents
Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, June 5, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to Watch on TV: SNY
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Mets 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -148 | +124 | 9.5 | +100 | -120 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has won 14, or 48.3%, of the 29 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- The Mets have a mark of 1-4 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -148 or better on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 32 of 61 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mets had a 2-4 record across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to go over the total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington has gone 24-31 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.6% of those games).
- The Nationals have a 17-22 record (winning 43.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
- Washington has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 26 times this season for a 26-30-4 record against the over/under.
- The Nationals have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and won seven of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Washington and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino
- The 30-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.52, a 2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.172.
- Luis Severino’s team has a record of 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Severino’s team has won four of his 11 starts.
- In games Severino has started this season, the teams are 7-4-0 at hitting the over.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- The 34-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.83, with 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 12 games this season. Opponents are batting .318 against him.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 12 of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 4-8 in those matchups.
- Corbin’s team has a 4-8 record in his starts this season.
- Corbin’s starts went over the run total six times in 12 games with a set total this season.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 26-35 |
| Home | 13-21 |
| Road | 13-14 |
| One-Run Games | 12-9 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 15-11 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 27-33 |
| Home | 10-15 |
| Road | 17-18 |
| One-Run Games | 4-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 19-6 |
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