Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 10

Wednesday’s game between the New York Mets (45-45) and Washington Nationals (42-50) going head to head at Citi Field has a projected final score of 6-5 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Mets, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 7:10 PM ET on July 10.

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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Nationals 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 10 runs

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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Mets vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -205 +170 10 -105 -124

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been the favorite in 48 games this season, and has come away with the win 26 times (54.2%) in those contests.
  • The Mets have played as a favorite of -205 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 48 of 90 chances this season.
  • The Mets went 6-4 over the 10 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total 10 times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has compiled a 33-44 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.9% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +170 or longer, the Nationals have a 5-6 record (winning 45.5% of their games).
  • In the 92 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Washington, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-43-5).
  • In 12 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Nationals had a record of 3-9.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents are 10-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • The 30-year-old has pitched to a 3.83 ERA this season with 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.0 walks per nine across 17 games.
  • Luis Severino’s team has won 58.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-5).
  • Severino’s team is 8-9 when he starts this season.
  • In Severino’s 17 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 11 times.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin

  • In 18 games this season, the 34-year-old has an ERA of 5.49, with 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .302 against him.
  • The Nationals have a 5-13 record in Corbin’s 18 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Corbin’s team has a 5-13 record in his starts this season.
  • Patrick Corbin has had 18 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those matchups finished over the total.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-45
Home 22-25
Road 23-20
One-Run Games 17-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-14

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-50
Home 20-24
Road 22-26
One-Run Games 8-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-13

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