Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 9

Tuesday’s contest between the New York Mets (44-45) and the Washington Nationals (42-49) at Citi Field is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Mets taking home the win. Game time is at 7:10 PM ET on July 9.

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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Mets vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -143 +120 8 -118 -102

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 25 wins in the 47 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a mark of 8-5 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -143 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over in 47 of 89 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Mets went 5-5 over the 10 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has been the underdog on the moneyline 76 total times this season. It has gone 33-43 in those games.
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Nationals have gone 21-30 (41.2%).
  • Washington has played in 91 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-43-5).
  • In 11 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Nationals had a record of 3-8.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents are 9-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin

  • Jake Irvin did not pitch as the moneyline favorite last season.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin

  • In 18 games this season, the 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.80, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .212 against him.
  • The Nationals are 7-9 in Irvin’s 16 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Irvin’s team has compiled an 8-10 record over his 18 starts.
  • Irvin has had 18 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those matchups.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-45
Home 21-25
Road 23-20
One-Run Games 17-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-14

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-49
Home 20-24
Road 22-25
One-Run Games 8-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-12

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