Predictions for Mets vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 15

Saturday’s game between the New York Mets (31-37) and San Diego Padres (37-36) matching up at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Mets, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 4:10 PM ET on June 15.

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Mets vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Padres Betting Lines

Mets vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -135 +114 8.5 -110 -110

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been chosen as the favorite in 34 games this year, and has walked away with the win 18 times (52.9%) in those games.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 8-8 when favored by -135 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of 68 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mets had a 6-2 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has gone 14-15 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 48.3% of those games).
  • The Padres are 5-6 (winning 45.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
  • In the 73 games bookmakers have set an over/under for San Diego, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-36-1).
  • The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and went 1-3 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 7-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mets vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana

  • The 35-year-old has an ERA of 5.29, a 1.91 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.432 in 13 games this season.
  • Jose Quintana’s team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Quintana’s team has a 6-7 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Quintana has started this season, the teams are 4-8-1 at hitting the over.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Adam Mazur

  • Over his two games this season, opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of .294 against him. He has a 9.00 ERA and averages 4 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Padres were named the moneyline underdog for one Adam Mazur start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost both of the matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Mazur’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 31-37
Home 16-23
Road 15-14
One-Run Games 15-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-11

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-36
Home 18-21
Road 19-15
One-Run Games 8-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-3

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