Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Matchup Preview 9/13/20: Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream
This matchup certainly looks different from the last decade as the Patriots will be taking the field in a new era. Tom Brady headed south, and not just for the winter. The Dolphins had plenty of draft picks and cashed one of them in for Tua Tagovailoa. However, we will have to wait for his debut as Ryan Fitzpatrick will start as 2020 opens up. Cam Newton on the other side is going to be a hot topic, as it is the first action we have seen from the former Heisman winner. After dealing with injuries and moving out of Carolina, he found a job for the Patriots. New England will bring back essentially the same core on offense, which is one that let down the Patriots for most of 2019. Mohamed Sanu was cut after being traded for by new England, as they gave up a 2nd round pick. We will also see how N’Keal Harry shakes out and how much Julian Edelman has left in the tank. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, September 13, 2020
Time: 1:00pm ET
Location: Gillette Stadium – Foxboro, MA
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Live Stream
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Miami Dolphins: Preston Williams (P), Xavien Howard (Q), Jakeem Grant (Q), Kyle Van Noy (Q), DeVante Parker (P)
New England Patriots: Damien Harris (O), Gunner Olszewski (Q), Devin Asiasi (Q)
Miami Dolphins Analysis
Coming off a five-win season, Miami was able to land their quarterback. While his health is still up in the air, the Dolphins did have an excellent offseason building for the future. The running backs were abysmal last season and that was a clear need. They passed on the position in the draft and added Matt Breida and Jordan Howard. They also needed help on the line, and signed Ereck Flowers and drafted Austin Jackson. One of the biggest free-agent signings over the offseason was Byron Jones. Pairing him with Xavien Howard gives them two top cornerbacks. They also added names like Emmanuel Ogbah, Kyle Van Noy, and Shaq Lawson. The defense struggled and they are working in the right direction. Both the offensive and defensive lines will need to show signs of improvement.
Looking at the matchup against the Patriots, this is going to be an early task for the offensive line that they are trying to piece together. If Flowers can remain stable while playing guard, this will be a good signing. Austin Jackson will need some time to develop but the upside is there. Both Jordan Howard and Matt Breida will face a top ten run defense. Fitzpatrick has faced the Patriots numerous times and this defense ranked first against the pass last season.
Miami Dolphins Depth Chart
New England Patriots Analysis
While the Patriots won 12 games last year, the defense was almost solely the reason why. The offense has been dwindling down and they have yet to make moves in that department. Mohamed Sanu was cut this week, and this is a quick loss of a second-round draft pick they could have used this offseason. The big offseason news was adding Cam Newton, otherwise, they did not have a lot of notable offseason additions. Even the draft picks were lackluster, but it also fits what New England has done in the draft. Tom Brady is of course the big departure but Jamie Collins is now in Detroit. While the defense is still going to be very good, a small step back is likely going to take place.
Miami ranked 32nd against the pass and 29th against the run. I expect the pass defense to improve slightly, but the front seven is going to be an easy target here for the Patriots. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a lot of run plays from Newton and Michel. This will be a great test for N’Keal Harry as he will take on now two stronger cornerbacks in Miami.
New England Patriots Team Depth Chart
Daily Fantasy: Sony Michel Value Back
This game doesn’t have a ton of eye-popping plays, and I would expect lower ownership for both sites. On the New England side, Sony Michel is very cheap on both sites and should have decent volume Week 1 despite missing most of camp and dealing with offseason health issues. Damien Harris will be out, which was a concern given it would have likely been a three-man committee. James White has PPR appeal on DraftKings and is not really in play on FanDuel. White is a bit expensive on DraftKings for my taste. Julian Edelman is also a PPR play on DraftKings but it is hard to get excited about New England’s receivers given the lack of upside they have shown and we have no clue what we will get out of Newton.
The Miami running backs are an easy pass as you are really only looking at Preston Williams and DeVante Parker as tournament plays solely because of the volume. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a gunner so that does help with the fantasy appeal. It is just a horrible matchup for these guys as the New England secondary is one of the best in football.
Spread: NE -6.5
Miami ML: +240
New England ML: -290
New England has generally struggled against Miami in comparison to the rest of the division, going 6-4 over the last ten games. Most of their struggles came on the road. The Patriots are still the more talented side but there is a lot to bring up with the defense missing a few names and Cam Newton now under center. Week 1 is likely to bring a lot of uncertainty, and I don’t feel great about the Patriots covering by seven here. The under is what stands out here, as the Patriots defense is one of the best in the game, and Miami’s did improve over the offseason as well. This game could just be an ugly one, even though I want Newton to come out of the gates flying. The under hit ten out of the 16 games last season for the Patriots.