Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Matchup Preview (11/15/2020): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
Not many people were circling this week 10 matchup between the Dolphins and Chargers on their calendar before the season started. Yet, here we are with plenty of reasons to get excited about this game. First, the 5-3 Dolphins, winners of four straight, are suddenly fighting for a playoff spot. In addition to recent stellar playmaking from the defense, rookie Tua Tagovailoa played well in their win against Arizona on Sunday. Meanwhile, the 2-6 Chargers have been impossible to turn away from. Despite remarkable performances from rookie quarterback Justin Herbert, the Chargers have found a knack for blowing leads and coming out on the wrong end of nail-biting close games. Watch as Miami looks to stay in the playoff conversation against a Chargers team desperate to turn their fortune around. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, November 15th, 2020
Time: 3:05 PM CT
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
TV Coverage: CBS
Dolphins vs. Chargers Live Stream
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Miami Dolphins: Matt Breida (hamstring) Q, Kavon Frazier (shoulder) Q, Byron Jones (achilles) Q, Patrick Laird (ankle) Q, Shaq Lawson (shoulder) Q, Jamal Perry (foot) Q, Adam Shaheen (shoulder) Q, Durham Smythe (concussion) Q
Los Angeles Chargers: Stephen Anderson (foot) Q, Joey Bosa (concussion) Q, Bryan Bulaga (back) Q, Justin Jackson (knee) Q, Troymaine Pope (neck) Q, Trai Turner (groin) Q
Many were surprised that Miami opened the season 3-3, and they were even more surprised when head coach Brian Flores then made the decision to hand over the reins to rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. After all, veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick seemed to be gaining control over what was developing into an explosive offense, having thrown for over 500 yards and six touchdowns in his last two games. Nonetheless, they have won both games since and are now smack-dab in the middle of the playoff conversation at 5-3.
Tua’s two games thus far have told two completely different stories about his ability to take over for Ryan Fitzpatrick. Two weeks ago, despite a 28-17 victory over the Rams, the offense wasn’t pretty. Tua’s sack-fumble on the first drive set the tone for what most of the day would look like. He did manage to cap off a 33-yard touchdown drive with a three-yard strike to Devante Parker for a touchdown in the first quarter, but there wasn’t much else to get excited about. After both a defensive and special teams touchdown that gave Miami a 21-7 lead, Kyle Van Noy returned a Jared Goff fumble to the one-yard line, and Myles Gaskin punched it in to make it 28-7. The Miami offense would go on to punt on all six possessions of the second half, never having a drive that lasted more than six plays. Ultimately, Tagovailoa finished 12 of 22 passing for 93 yards and a touchdown to go along with no rushing yards and his one lost fumble. This past Sunday, however, Tua and the offense looked much better. He finished 20 of 28 passing for 248 yards and 2 touchdowns, in addition to 35 yards on seven rushing attempts. He capped off his impressive game with a game-tying touchdown pass to Mack Hollins early in the fourth quarter and made a couple of throws late in the fourth to set up Jason Sanders’ go-ahead field goal that ultimately proved to be the difference-maker.
Much of the credit goes to Miami’s impressive first half should go to the defense. Overall, they’re giving up the fourth-lowest points per game in the NFL, behind only the Ravens, Rams, and Colts. This past Sunday, the Dolphins defense opened up the scoring with a strip-sack by Emmanuel Ogbah returned for a touchdown by fellow teammate Shaq Lawson. This was Miami’s second straight game with a defensive touchdown. Additionally, the secondary is led by cornerbacks Xavien Howard and Byron Jones, as well as safety Bobby McCain. While the front seven may not be generating a large number of sacks, Miami still owns the fourth-lowest opponent third-down conversion percentage. While all eyes will be on Justin Herbert and Tua Tagovailoa, this matchup against a tough offense will be a great test as to whether or not Miami can hold up in their playoff push.
Miami Dolphins Depth Chart
Los Angeles Chargers
After a controversial switch to rookie Justin Herbert at quarterback, it quickly became apparent that Los Angeles had drafted somebody special. In his first game, Herbert went toe-to-toe with reigning Super Bowl Champ Patrick Mahomes, tossing over 300 yards and two total touchdowns in the overtime loss. Despite Herbert’s continued success generating an explosive offense, the Chargers have had issues putting teams away. They lost to the Saints after leading 20-3, to the Buccaneers after leading 24-7, and to the Broncos ahead 24-3. This past Sunday, Justin Herbert’s game-winning touchdown pass as time expired was overturned upon review, handing Los Angeles another upsetting loss and dropping their record to a dismal 2-6. If the Chargers want to make a push for the playoffs, it needs to start this week against Miami.
Offensively, Los Angeles has been exciting to watch. Justin Herbert has completed just over 67-percent of his passes for 2146 yards and 17 touchdowns to just five interceptions. He’s also put up 166 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. His leading receiver, Keenan Allen, leads the team in targets (86), receptions (62), yards (651), and touchdowns (4). After losing Austin Ekeler, the offense turned to a combination of Justin Jackson and Joshua Kelley. They’ve also given some snaps to Troymaine Pope, and most recently, Kalen Ballage after Justin Jackson injured his knee. Regardless of who it has been, Los Angeles’ 135.6 rushing yards per game is good enough for top-10 in the NFL. The offense’s ability to put up points has not been to blame for the disappointing first half of their 2020 season.
The Chargers’ defense, however, has largely been disappointing. While the offense took off under Justin Herbert, the defense is giving up 27 points per game, which is higher than two-thirds of the league. Despite still having a handful of talented players on the defensive side of the ball, the Chargers defense continues to struggle. In the last five games, they have given up the following point totals: 31, 31, 29, 30, 38. Most recently, they led the Raiders 17-14 at the half before giving up two third-quarter touchdowns and falling behind 28-17, and ultimately losing 31-16. In their 31-30 loss to Denver the week prior, 21 of the Broncos’ 31 points came on three Drew Lock fourth-quarter touchdown passes. If they want to reverse their trend of collapsing late in close games, the defense is going to need to make some plays in the second half.
Los Angeles Chargers Depth Chart
Betting Corner Miami -2.5
Spread: Dolphins -2.5
Moneyline: Miami -139, Los Angeles +115
The Dolphins open as home favorites against the Chargers. It is not surprising, considering the Dolphins are 5-3 and winners of four straight and the Chargers are 2-6. The Dolphins are 3-1 against the spread at home this year, and 7-1 overall. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 1-3 against the spread on the road and 3-5 overall. The Over/Under and spread implies a point total of Miami of 25.25, and a point total for Los Angeles of 22.75.
- Michigan Sports Betting
- Tennessee Sports Betting
- Arizona Sports Betting
- BetMGM Michigan
- FanDuel Michigan
- DraftKings Michigan
- Caesars Arizona
- DraftKings Arizona
- FanDuel Arizona
- Caesars Promo Code
- BetMGM Bonus Code
- DraftKings Promo Code
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Daily Fantasy Picks
Herbert has quickly found his way into fantasy lineups of all formats. While he is no longer as cheap as he was in his first few starts, he’s still coming in over $1000 less than some of this week’s top options. At $6600, against the 24th-ranked team against fantasy quarterbacks on DraftKings, consider stacking Herbert with a few of his receiving options. Only one time has Herbert failed to score 20 points in DraftKings scoring formats, and he finished that week with 19.7 points.
You can stack Allen and Herbert for $13700 on DraftKings. For reference, the Wilson and Metcalf stack this week against a much tougher opponent will cost you $15,300. The combination of Herbert and Allen has been a near can’t-miss so far in 2020. For example, over the last three weeks, the two are averaging over 55 combined fantasy points per week. Against a positive matchup, the upside between these two at a relatively reasonable price is hard to pass up.
If you want to go all in on the Chargers in this matchup, consider the three-way stack of Herbert, Allen, and Mike Williams. That, or drop Allen for the much cheaper Mike Williams. You can stack Herbert and Williams for just $12,000, or stack all three for $19,100. Be careful though, as Williams is much more inconsistent than Keenan Allen is. While Williams has a 30-point game and a 20-point game this season, he also has three games underneath five points. If you’re looking for an even cheaper option with as much boom potential, also consider Jalen Guyton at just $3300.
Miami Dolphins DST
The Chargers have not been a spectacular opponent for a DST play, but Miami’s DST has been impressive in recent weeks. Overall, they have scored north of 10 points in half of their games. More recently, they’ve eclipsed 10 points in three of their last four games (against the 49ers, Jets, and Rams), and had eight against the Cardinals. If you do not want to pay up for a top-ranked defense this week such as Pittsburgh at $4400 or Baltimore at $3900, but don’t want to play a bottom-dweller such as the Bengals at $2100 or Jacksonville at $2000, consider a mid-tier option like Miami at $2800. They contain a lot of upside at that price. Keep in mind, however, that you shouldn’t play Miami if you decide to stack the Chargers’ offensive weapons. This should be a one-or-the-other decision if you want pieces in this game.