Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview
We are now looking at a Game 6 on Sunday night as the Heat were able to force this season to continue. Jimmy Butler put the team on his back with a 35-12-11 line, while LeBron James had an all-time game going 40-13-7. The Lakers had their chance at the end but a key Markieff Morris turnover didn’t allow that to happen. Duncan Robinson had a big game going 7-13 from three, while Jae Crowder did the dirty work and played 40 minutes. The Lakers big story was the lack of bench and secondary scoring. They had just 14 points off the bench, while KCP and Danny Green combined for 24 points. Game 6 will need one of these guys to pick it up. KCP has had a few games where he has been the difference-maker outside of LeBron James Anthony and Davis. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers Matchup Page.
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Arena: AdventHealth Arena, Orlando, FL
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Heat Starting 5
Once again we had another extremely close game where a few possessions and areas of the game made the difference. The Heat made the same amount of threes as the Lakers but took five fewer shots. They also shot 95% from the line compared to 85% of the Lakers. Miami has done a better job of limiting offensive rebounds to the Lakers over the last two games and that has kept them in this series. Miami continues to make the Lakers pay with points off turnovers where the Lakers generated 13 turnovers but scored just 14 points off of them. We knew what we are going to get from these teams and there is little adjusting to do now. It is my best guy versus your best and right now and Jimmy Butler is keeping his team in this series. While Davis still had a casual 28-12 game, there is a difference in how the Heat have made him work over the last few games.
Lakers Starting 5
For each game of the series, you could have pointed to a player who made a difference outside of LeBron James and Anthony Davis. In Game 5 there isn’t a single name you could point to that helped out Davis and James. The bench scoring was abysmal and Markieff Morris, Alex Caruso, and Rajon Rondo combined for seven turnovers and 13 points off the bench. Morris has the blunder in the closing stages of the game. Dwight Howard has been unplayable in this series and scored two points in 15 minutes. Danny Green will of course get a look at in the blame column but he simply missed a shot he has made in the past. For the Lakers, you live with it and move on. Game 6 I expect the Lakers bench to be motived but another performance like Game 5, this game should be heading for seven games. Davis is playing with a bruised heel but it should not affect him much moving forward. This would be a bigger storyline at the moment if there was anything more to it.
Heat & Lakers DFS Angle
Game 6 brings us much of the same when it comes to DFS plays. Anthony Davis and LeBron James are the only two producing worthy fantasy scorers on the Lakers side, while the rest of the team has little usage and is very hit and miss. Rajon Rondo, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and Danny Green have had their moments this series but still are not completely reliable options outside of Rondo because he can have more of an impact regardless of his shooting where the others are dependent on how well they are shooting. The Lakers have seemingly gotten the ball to the guy with the hot hand. For the Heat, you are going to continue to look at Jimmy Butler who had the better game fantasy-wise. Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro were a liability defensively, but are going to need to step up on the offensive side. Bam Adebayo hasn’t been the dominant player he was in the Boston series and of course, so I am a little less likely to deploy him as I rather force in Butler and go with the cheaper shooting options and hope for the big night.
Heat vs Lakers Betting Odds
Heat Spread: +5
Heat Moneyline: +180
Lakers Spread: -5
Lakers Moneyline: -210
Over/Under Points Total: 214
After the Heat pulled off the Game 5 win, odds came out for Game 6 and we have seen quite a reaction from Vegas. The Heat are now +5 after being below +7 for most of the series. We have also seen the over/under continue to drop. The public is looking for the Lakers to pull this one out, but it is about a 55/45 split on both the Lakers and the under in this one. The Heat are 4-1 ATS so far in this series and are 7-3 in the last ten games. The over/under has been 6-4 over the last ten for both sides. I really do not see a blowout in any of the potential last two games barring any sort of injury. Each game has been extremely even and Jimmy Butler continues to go toe to toe with LeBron. We know what to expect from those names but what is tougher to predict is who is going to show up around them? The last game it was Duncan Robinson, but we have also had some KCP games mixed in as well. I still am banking on the 7-man rotation of the Heat over the 9-man rotation of the Lakers to at least cover here and potentially send this series to a Game 7.
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