Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview
Game 1 was a deflating one for the Miami Heat and their fans. It is also deflating for those who were looking forward to a competitive series. The Lakers took care of business regardless, and are now clear cut favorites to just run away with this thing. The Heat got off to a hot start, but then the Lakers went off from three and it was the secondary guys who really broke out. Miami would live with that shooting int he long run but the Lakers were just strong across the board. Anthony Davis had his way with Miami and will have an easy time against this Miami front court moving forward, as it features just Kelly Olynyk and Meyers Leonard. With Goran Dragic and Bam Adebayo doubtful for Game 2, the odds are already swinging heavily in the series and also in Game 2 as nine-point favorites. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers Matchup Page.
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Arena: AdventHealth Arena, Orlando, FL
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Heat Starting 5
It was a bad night for the Miami Heat. They jumped out to an early lead, which quickly vanished after allowing 65 points through the first two quarters. When the Lakers secondary players started to hit threes, it was hard for Miami to keep up. Miami had such a hot series from three against Boston, the 31% wasn’t good enough in Game 1 against the Lakers. There was a clear advantage for Los Angeles as they pounded the inside and were able to get to the line 27 times compared to the Heat’s 14 times. Bam Adebayo struggled in this one and the injury also came into play as he played just 21 minutes. Tyler Herro and Andre Iguodala were both struggling on defense, and the Lakers were able to find Herro and attack him.
Game 2 is going to mean more Kelly Olynyk as the Heat are going to need to throw some bigger bodies out there. He came in at the end of the game and played well, but defensively he has not been someone you want out there in his career. As for Dragic’s injury, Tyler Herro and Kendrick Nunn will pick up minutes. Nunn was the starter most of the season but struggled with his injuries and play down the stretch and in the playoffs.
Lakers Starting 5
When the Lakers starting getting threes By Danny Green, Rajon Rondo, and KCP, things were going to be tough. While they finished shooting 39% from three, it was at 60% for most of the first half. Los Angeles out-rebounded Miami by a wide margin, and also had nine offensive boards, which was something I mentioned as a key factor in this series. Anthony Davis was all over the place and finished with a 34-9-5 line. LeBron James had a near triple-double with a 25-13-9 line. They had three other players in double-digit scoring, which is not ideal for any opposing team. Danny Green had a great game with two steals and three blocks, looking like the Green of old.
Not much should change for the Lakers moving forward. The matchups get a bit easier as they can attack this Heat backcourt, and they have no answer for Anthony Davis. It will be a free series for Davis to roam around and do as he pleases. If they can get even half of the production they did from the secondary players in Game 1, the Lakers will roll through the next three games.
Heat & Lakers DFS Angle
The Lakers continue to be a straight forward team to choose from. Anthony Davis and LeBron James are the only two producing worthy fantasy scores, while the rest of the team has little usage and are very hit and miss. Rajon Rondo and Danny Green both had excellent games and are the better upside plays over any of the other Lakers players not named Davis/James. On the Heat side of things, you are going to continue to look at Jimmy Butler who had the better game fantasy-wise. Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro were a liability defensively, but are going to need to step up on the offensive side. As will Kendrick Nunn, who came in and shot well, but tame expectations for him shooting over 70%. Kelly Olynyk should land in the 25-30 minute range, barring foul trouble. They are not enticing names, but they are available on this slate.
Heat vs Lakers Betting Odds
Heat Spread: +9.5
Heat Moneyline: +395
Lakers Spread: -9.5
Lakers Moneyline: -500
Over/Under Points Total: 216.5
No surprise to see such a big jump in the spread from Game 1 with the injuries to Goran Dragic and Bam Adebayo. Even if they were healthy, I would have expected the line to move. There was a lot of excitement for the Heat, but many were blind that the Lakers have two of the top five players in the league and it doesn’t quite matter who else they have. While we should expect some fight in the Heat still, there just isn’t any way they come away with a win. The spread is interesting because the Lakers will win, but can the Heat play well offensively to keep this close. Some of that will come down to the Lakers secondary options being able to score. The over I am banking on again, with the Lakers having their way on offense and a likely resurgence from the Heat on offense, the over should hit here. Public money is on the Lakers and the over, as expected, but not by a heavy margin by any means.
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