Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers 10/4/20: Starting Lineups, Matchup Preview, Betting Odds

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview

The Heat played just about as well as they could in Game 2 and still lost by ten. Los Angeles takes a 2-0 lead heading into Game 3 as they will have a chance to close this out in four by early next week if they can keep taking care of business. This series has been just about as expected for the Lakers production as Anthony Davis and LeBron James lead the way. Goran Dragic sat out as expected as did Bam Adebayo. However, Miami will likely have Adebayo back for Game 3. Los Angeles was -9.5 favorites for Game 2 and are -8.5 favorites for Game 3. Getting Adebayo back will be helpful, but the question is how effective can he be on a short turnaround with the shoulder injury. And slowing down James and Davis is a tough task where it might not matter how effective Adebayo can be.  For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers Matchup Page.

TV Schedule

Date: 10/4/20
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Arena: AdventHealth Arena, Orlando, FL
Channel: ESPN

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Heat Starting 5

PG: Tyler Herro
SG: Jimmy Butler
SF: Duncan Robinson
PF: Jae Crowder
C: Bam Adebayo

Heat Analysis

Miami HeatMiami shot 50% from the field and 40% from three last game and still lost by ten. That is extremely frustrating but the biggest frustration has to be allowing 16 offensive rebounds to the Lakers to their six. Neither team turned the ball over much and Miami overall had a terrific game that just was going to fall short with the Lakers getting 97 field goal attempts to the Heat’s 71. The offensive glass was a major concern for me heading into the series and has played a big role in the first two games. You look at the team stats and wonder if this is the Heat’s best game, how will they pull back into this series?

Jimmy Butler played one of his best games in these playoffs but also played 45 minutes as Butler being on the court was the only option for the Heat having a chance in this one. As expected we saw more minutes from Kelly Olynyk as he played 38 minutes off bench, as Meyers Leonard drew the start and played just nine minutes. Kendrick Nunn played well with a 13-4-3 line off the bench and had 29 minutes. It will be interesting to see if we get more Olynyk in this series even with Bam back.

Lakers Starting 5

PG: LeBron James
SG: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF: Danny Green
PF: Anthony Davis
C: JaVale McGee

Lakers Analysis

Los Angeles LakersThe Lakers had another strong night shooting and there is just about nothing you can do at this point. Los Angeles is taking a ton of threes this series as they had 47 alone last night. This was not the case during the regular season as they were not a heavy three-point shooting team during the regular season. Los Angeles was able to grab 16 offensive rebounds which helped their shot volume and was the difference in this one. This was a clean game otherwise as the Lakers only turned the ball over nine times in comparison to the Heat’s ten. As expected the Lakers dominated points in the paint.

I might as well just copy and paste this in for the next few games. Anthony Davis and LeBron James led the way with 65 combined points. James was just short of a triple-double again. We haven’t seen this consistently with the Lakers are getting strong production out of their secondary players. Rajon Rondo had a strong 16-4-10 game.

Heat & Lakers DFS Angle

Anthony DavisOn the showdown slates, you will continue to use Anthony Davis or LeBron James in the multiplier spots. They are the highest-scoring players and nobody is even coming close. James has averaged 55 fantasy points in four meetings against the Heat this season and postseason. Davis has averaged 56 in that same span. Out of the secondary guys for the Lakers, Rajon Rondo remains the most intriguing. He is averaging 25 fantasy points per game over the last five and has had back to back strong games against the Heat. After that, you are looking at Danny Green and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope at the guard positions. Dwight Howard doesn’t get enough run to be considered despite him playing well in the 15 minutes he is out there.

Jimmy Butler had a terrific Gam 2 with a 25-13-8 line and he played a whopping 45 minutes. Obviously, he is the third option behind James and Davis, but makes sense to pair him with one of them and hope he can match their scoring for a cheaper price tag. Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo remain the secondary options that need to play well. With Goran Dragic doubtful again, Kendrick Nunn will get some minutes. These are all solid options as is Jae Crowder to round out a lineup.

Heat vs Lakers Betting Odds

Heat Spread: +8.5
Heat Moneyline: +315
Lakers Spread: -8.5
Lakers Moneyline: -400
Over/Under Points Total: 218.5

The spread was 9.5 in some areas last game and the Lakers won by ten. With Bam Adebayo coming back it hasn’t really shifted that much as the Lakers are 8.5 favorites tonight. The over/under will continue to float around this number as it hit in Game 2 but not in Game 1. Public money is on the Heat to cover, which tends to be the case when the public plays the desperation card, and the Heat are desperate for a win. Offensively they are hitting shots but the defense continues to be a major issue. They have no match to what Davis and James are doing on a nightly basis. I do like the Heat to cover here with Bam being back and still expect the Lakers to win. The over can go either way but I like an under if you are banking on the Lakers secondary players to fall back to earth from three.

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Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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