Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview
Game 3 was not one that we expected as the Lakers came out a bit flat and maybe took the Heat for granted. Jimmy Butler put up a monster triple-double and willed this Heat team to a big win. Now they will have the chance to even the series but we should expect a big bounce back from the Lakers key players. Anthony Davis having nine shots in a Finals game is inexcusable, and I am baffled that it actually happened. The spread has been walked back a bit as this could point towards the return of Bam Adebayo or just more of a cover for the Heat. They will need to certainly keep up the energy and get some strong shooting from Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro again. The Lakers are still favorites of course, but by seven points instead of the nine from last game. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers Matchup Page.
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Arena: AdventHealth Arena, Orlando, FL
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Heat Starting 5
Jimmy Butler was the star of the show here, posting a 40-11-13 game with two steals and two blocks. He did it all and this is now back-to-back games where he had 45 minutes played. Not a shocker, but he probably can shoot Tom Thibodeau a text thanking him for the heavy workload all of those years. What might be the most impressive is that Butler did not shoot a single three but got to the line for 14 attempts. While he led the way, Kelly Olynyk and Tyler Herro both chipped in with seven points. Olynyk has been excellent off the bench in the absence of Bam Adebayo. He deserves more time regardless of Adebayo’s status moving forward. He was the only bench member who really played well. Jae Crowder had an underrated game as he went +21 and played some great defense.
Miami has been shooting well all series long, but this time the Lakers didn’t match or surpass them in that department. They also made 91% of their free throws and forced the Lakers to turn the ball over 20 times, which they took advantage of with 21 points off turnovers. The Heat will need to capitalize on this again.
Lakers Starting 5
It was a very odd game for the Los Angeles Lakers as Anthony Davis took just nine shots overall. That was less than both Markieff Morris and Kyle Kuzma. LeBron James also had a down game, by his standards of course. He had eight turnovers and that was a major issue for the Lakers as they had 19 this game. Los Angeles actually might have missed a chance here because we will likely never see Morris and Kuzma shoot that well again from three. They went combined 9-19, yet the Lakers shot 33% from three and 43% from the field. Rajon Rondo was once again a bright spot off the bench where he was +6 and had a 4-5-8 line with two steals. Other than that it was a down night for most of this squad.
The Lakers shot went missing a bit and it was just a weird gameplan overall. Los Angeles still out-rebounded the Heat and especially on the offensive boards. This has been a major issue for opposing teams all year and in this series. It was the Heat who dominated the paint with 52 points to the Lakers 34.
Heat & Lakers DFS Angle
Not much to really change here. Anthony Davis and LeBron James are the only two producing worthy fantasy scores, while the rest of the team has little usage and is very hit and miss. Rajon Rondo and Danny Green both have had up and down starts to the series, and are the better upside plays over any of the other Lakers players not named Davis/James. On the Heat side of things, you are going to continue to look at Jimmy Butler who had the better game fantasy-wise. Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro were a liability defensively, but are going to need to step up on the offensive side. As will Kendrick Nunn, who came in and shot well, but tame expectations for him shooting over 70%. With Bam Adebayo likely back tonight this will push Kelly Olynyk out of the way. However, Olynyk deserves more run and I still like him as an option. The downside is that the price has come up after the last two performances.
Heat vs Lakers Betting Odds
Heat Spread: +7.5
Heat Moneyline: +260
Lakers Spread: -7.5
Lakers Moneyline: -310
Over/Under Points Total: 219.5
The Heat’s big win in Game 3 has changed the odds a bit in terms of how oddsmakers are looking at Game 4. This is the lowest spread out of the last two games and this could also be a reaction that Bam Adebayo should be back. He was close to returning in Game 4 but was then ruled out alongside Goran Dragic, who is the more likely won to miss the series overall. The Heat have averaged 109 points per game in the series and the Heat have averaged 114. Both are shooting the ball well, sitting around 47%. The under has been the winner in two of the three games so far this series but it has hovered very close in each game. We looked at how well these teams were defensively and even with them shooting lights out the under has been somewhat lucky. Miami has covered in two of the three games. I had them covering the last game but this one I am a bit more concerned if the Lakers come out after a lackluster Game 3.
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