Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers 10/9/20: Starting Lineups, Matchup Preview, Betting Odds

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview

This could very well be it for the 2019-20 NBA season. It has been a long one and certainly one we will all remember. Bubble basketball has actually been a success. Los Angeles once again comes in as seven-point favorites tonight as many are expecting them to close it out, but we know Miami will keep this game close. Bam Adebayo has been removed from the injury report for Miami but Goran Dragic remains doubtful. Despite the 3-1 lead for Los Angeles, the last few games have been close. LeBron James came alive in the second half of Game 4 and might have solidified his Finals MVP award after Anthony Davis had a “down” game by his standards for the second game in a row. However, his defensive presence has made it tough, especially when he has taken on Jimmy Butler. Even if this is the last game, it has been a hard-fought series. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers Matchup Page.

TV Schedule

Date: 10/9/20
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Arena: AdventHealth Arena, Orlando, FL
Channel: ABC

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Heat Starting 5

PG: Tyler Herro
SG: Jimmy Butler
SF: Duncan Robinson
PF: Jae Crowder
C: Bam Adebayo

Heat Analysis

Miami HeatMiami’s shooting was a bit off the mark compared to where they have been during the season and in the bubble. They shot just 42% from the field and 34% from three. They played tight defensively and overall didn’t have many areas where they gave the game away. A lot of it came down to a few possessions but also we saw Jimmy Butler struggle when Davis was on him defensively. Miami did a better job on the offensive glass but still was out-rebounded. They also were not as opportunistic as the Lakers when it came down to generating points off turnovers. While Jimmy Butler got his 22-10-9 line, he struggled on the offensive side when Davis was on him. He was also -11, alongside Tyler Herro who continues to find the Lakers taking advantage of his defense. Herro will need to have a big offensive explosion in this one. With Adebayo back, we didn’t see much of Olynyk who had just four points in 12 minutes. Overall the bench has been a disappointment and they scored just 13 points. between Olynyk, Iggy, and Nunn.

Lakers Starting 5

PG: LeBron James
SG: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF: Danny Green
PF: Anthony Davis
C: JaVale McGee

Lakers Analysis

Los Angeles LakersThis game was a bit more defensive in comparison to the first two and things were slowed down, which generally benefits the Lakers. They shot slightly better than the Heat at 44% and 35% from three. They were able to out-rebound the Heat again and it is hard to see them not being able to do that in each game moving forward. Game 5 they will certainly have to shoot better because I would bank on the Heat finding their form again as they have for most of the season. A key area of this game was being able to capitalize on turnovers and producing points off of them. In what ended up being a tight margin game, it comes down to the little things as it always does. James continues to lead the way and he took over in the second half. But overall he finished with a 28-12-8 line. Anthony Davis had a 22 and 9 game but his +17 and four block numbers were the real difference. He locked down Jimmy Butler and made some big shots. Each game the Lakers have had at least one secondary player really rise up and KCP was the name this week. He shot 50% from the field and had 15 points.

Heat & Lakers DFS Angle

Lebron JamesNot much to really change here again heading into Game 5. Anthony Davis and LeBron James are the only two producing worthy fantasy scores, while the rest of the team has little usage and is very hit and miss. Rajon Rondo, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and Danny Green have had their moments this series but still are not completely reliable options outside of Rondo because he can have more of an impact regardless of his shooting where the others are dependent on the three-ball going in. For the Heat, you are going to continue to look at Jimmy Butler who had the better game fantasy-wise. Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro were a liability defensively, but are going to need to step up on the offensive side. Bam Adebayo hasn’t been the dominant player he was in the Boston series and of course, Anthony Davis and the injuries have something to do with that.

Heat vs Lakers Betting Odds

Heat Spread: +7
Heat Moneyline: +265
Lakers Spread: -7
Lakers Moneyline: -315
Over/Under Points Total: 216

There is not much difference from last game as the Game 4 line was Los Angeles by 7.5 points and the total was at 219.5. So we have seen the total drop a bit and last game both teams didn’t shoot as well as the prior few games. The under is now 2-1 over the last three games and Miami causally covered and is 3-0 ATS. Goran Dragic is listed as doubtful again and Bam Adebayo was removed from the injury report. The public tends to land on the more desperate team in these closeout games and public money is on the Heat and the over, but not as confidently as the last game. While I believe the Lakers will close this one out, it won’t be easy and the Heat will keep this one close. I do expect the Heat and Lakers to both play well offensively and with a slightly lower total, I could see the over hitting this time. The over is 6-4 in the last ten for Miami and 5-5 over the last ten for Los Angeles. Miami has been the better ATS team going 7-3, compared to the Lakers 4-5-1.

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Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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