Michigan Vs. Washington College Football Playoff National Championship Player Props & Picks (1/8/24)

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Get Michigan vs. Washington college football player prop picks & odds for their 2024 National Championship matchup on (1/8/24).

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The 2023-24 college football season ends with a battle between two undefeated squads in the Michigan Wolverines (-3.5) and Washington Huskies. Let’s dig into some of their individual performances, and get College Football National Championship Game player prop picks & odds for this Big 10 vs Pac 12 showdown.

Michigan Vs. Washington Player Prop Picks

These teams are both absolutely fantastic squads, but very different ones. While Washington thrives around their vertical passing attack, Michigan’s approach is a methodical, old-school brand of football. Let’s see how that dichotomy could affect some of the key performers in this year’s National Championship Game.

Blake Corum To Score 2+Touchdowns(+150)

In short, we should expect this to happen because it almost always does. The fourth year running back owns Michigan records both on the season and over the course of his career. He has scored two touchdowns in 10 of his 14 games this year.

Corum has scored when Michigan has needed him most. He’s scored multiple times in each of his past six outings, including all four of Michigan’s clashes with ranked opponents. His workload has been limited in games the Wolverines were never realistically going to lose — to protect his knee after an ACL tear a year ago — but he’s gone back to carrying a major load for this offense as the schedule has intensified.

The best news for Corum is that while his previous work against ranked opponents has exclusively included matchups with solid to elite defenses, Washington’s is terrible- namely against the run. The Huskies’ pass defense is actually decent, ranking in the top-50 by EPA per play, but their run defense is in the bottom 15 in the country by the same metric.

In Michigan’s biggest game yet, expect Corum to absolutely go to work and take advantage of a horrible mismatch. They’ll be leaning on him especially around the goal line, where he has been so fantastic across his storied career.

JJ McCarthy Over 196.5 Passing Yards (-115)2

In addition to the edge Michigan has in the run game, the Wolverines are also going to need to throw the ball to keep pace with Washington’s offense.

It’s worth noting that while Washington’s pass defense is better than their run unit, it’s nowhere near as good as Alabama’s. The Tide have an absolute litany of pass defense stars, from safety Caleb Downs to cornerbacks Kool-Aid McKinstry and Terrion Arnold and pass rushers Dallas Turner and Chris Braswell. Washington has Bralen Trice to pressure the quarterback, but they don’t have a single member of the secondary who compares to McKinstry, for example.

McCarthy threw for 221 yards against Alabama, despite not attempting a pass in the period of overtime, as Corum did all the work on the ground in two plays. He’s had low volume this year, as Michigan has often simply not needed his services- they’re usually pretty much in control.

However, this is the biggest stage yet, and the full playbook will be on display. This number is far too low given McCarthy’s ability and the matchup with the Husky defense; invest in him to hit the over for a second straight game. Texas’s Quinn Ewers showed what was possible as he threw for 318 yards against Washington in the Sugar Bowl, and there’s no reason McCarthy can’t do something similar.

Ja’Lynn Polk Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Michigan’s secondary is rated as the top coverage unit in the nation, according to PFF. Will Johnson continues to play like one of the best corners in the nation, having had a fantastic half against Ohio State before getting hurt, and allowing no catches on two targets in the Rose Bowl against Alabama.

The unit’s depth is fantastic, including Mike Sainristil, a former wideout, has become one of the country’s best slot corners, and the safety unit led by future NFL player Rod Moore does a great job keeping the ball in front of them.

But as good as the Michigan secondary is, the Washington wideout group might be even better. PFF considers them to be the nation’s best as well, and by an even wider margin above second place. The trio of Rome Odunze, Jalen McMillan, and Polk is ridiculously talented, and quarterback Michael Penix Jr. is simply too good to not find a way to produce against Michigan.

So why Polk? Well, as good as Odunze is, he’s probably not better than Marvin Harrison Jr., who was clamped by Johnson. If Michigan’s top corner follows Odunze, it could be a long day for Washington’s star wideout. We’re not picking on McMillan either, Washington’s shifty slot man, who will be paired with Sainristil.

We’ll go with Polk, who lived in the slot a bit earlier this year but has played outside much more when McMillan has been healthy. Penix will have his fair share of production, but he’d probably rather not pick on Michigan’s best defenders. Polk’s 122 yards against Texas were right behind Odunze’s 125, and given the matchup, it’s hard to understand why his total for this game is at 50.5 compared to 89.5 for his star teammate.

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