Mike Williams Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

It was a breakout year for Mike Williams, as he scored ten touchdowns and also had a rushing touchdown mixed in. With Tyrell Williams now in Oakland, it gives Williams to be an even stronger presence within the Chargers offense. While we can talk about the touchdown regression, Williams is still in line to be a strong fantasy wideout as long as he can stay healthy.

2018 Fantasy Recap

Tier FPTS 2018 Rating GP SNPS/G TGT REC TGT/G YDS 100+ YDS YDS/REC TD Yahoo PTS/G
2 137.2 82 16 38.9 66 43 4.1 664 0 15.4 10 9.9

Drafted back in 2017, Mike Williams didn’t make an impact in year one. The back issues were a concern, and he only saw 23 targets over 10 games. Year two was a lot different, and there is a definite trend here if he can stay healthy. While Hunter Henry was also out, Williams saw 66 targets last season. He caught 43 of them equaling out for a 65% catch rate. Williams saw 15 red zone targets, catching eight of them for seven touchdowns. Williams had some strong efficiency and his 15.4 yards per receptions is a step in the right direction. Williams finished as WR21 last season, and a top 30 finish is in his range of outcomes moving forward. I still believe there is a gap in between Williams and the next group of wideouts.

2019 Fantasy Outlook

Position Ranking ADP Auction Value Bye Week Receptions Receiving Yards Touchdowns
WR23 5.12 $12 12 53.0 781.8 8.7

The Chargers offense is loaded with fantasy potential, and while Rivers doesn’t have the arm strength he used to, the quarterback play is still above average. Williams benefits from being in a stable situation and also checks in as a viable WR2 in the offense. Now Hunter Henry is back in the mix, which he will soak up some targets. Williams could close in on about 90-100 targets, and the yardage should go up from last season. Asking for ten touchdowns on the regular is a stretch, but Williams has double-double touchdown upside again. Combining that with a likely uptick in yards and receptions, Williams is poised for a better year.

Love Williams taking a major step this year, and would be willing to pay up a bit to get him. Even with everyone screaming touchdown regression, Williams is still in line to produce a top 30 WR season.

Draft & Auction Value

Williams is a known name so there is no way to get WR2 type upside for a WR3 type price. I would expect many to have his name on their draft board, which means that his ADP isn’t going to get much lower than the 6th round. While Williams has WR2 potential, I would be looking to draft him as my WR3. His auction value is going to be in line with the market value, which isn’t much of a discount. Sorry everyone, this further breakout candidate has an accurate ADP and auction value heading into 2019. WR is deep this year, so don’t be discouraged if you don’t want to reach for Williams.

  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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