Minnesota Twins Vs. San Diego Padres (7/29/22) Starting Lineup, Betting Odds, Prediction

Through their first 98 games of this year, the Twins are 52-46, first place in the American League Central.  Minnesota is +140 to win the division title; they’ve been in the playoffs three times since 2016.  The Twins are +5000 to win the World Series; they’ve won three World Series championships in franchise history (one as the Washington Senators in 1924 and two as the Minnesota Twins in 1987 and 1991).

San Diego is 55-45 through 100 games of the 2022 season, first place in the National League West.  The Padres are +3000 to win their division; the last time they won the NL West was 2006 and +2200 to win the World Series this season; they’ve never won a World Series title in franchise history.  Since losing in the Division Round in 2006, the Padres have made the playoffs only once. 

Minnesota Twins Vs. San Diego Padres Betting Odds

The Twins are 18-41 in their last 59 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Over is 5-0 in Minnesota’s last five interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Twins are 7-20 in their last 27 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.  Under is 6-1-2 in Minnesota’s last nine interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Twins are 1-4 in their last five during game one of a series.

The Padres are 2-6 in their last eight vs. American League Central opponents.  Over is 4-0-1 in San Diego’s last five vs. American League Central foes.  The Padres are 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Under is 8-3 in San Diego’s last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Padres are 4-1 in their last five during game one of a series.

Minnesota Twins Starting Lineup

CF B. Buxton R
SS C. Correa R
3B G. Urshela R
2B J. Polanco S
C G. Sanchez R
LF N. Gordon L
1B J. Miranda R
RF K. Garlick R
DH A. Kirilloff L

Minnesota Twins Vs. Blake Snell (L)

All-Star Luis Arraez leads the American League with a .333; 108 hits overall.  He has 16 doubles, one triple, five home runs and 33 runs batted in.  The infielder has 141 total bases, an on-base percentage of .405 and an OPS of .841 in 2022.

Jorge Polanco is second on the Twins in home runs with 14 this year.  The second baseman leads Minnesota in runs batted in with 49 and additionally, has 124 total bases, .429 slugging percentage and an OPS of .780.  Former Houston Astro, Carolos Correa has hit 12 home runs and driven in 34 runs in his first season as a Twin.  The shortstop has 129 total bases, a .448 slugging percentage with an OPS of .793 in his eighth season in the big leagues.  Gio Urshela has hit nine home runs, knocked in 42 runs with 124 total bases on the campaign.  The former Yankee has a slugging percentage of .422 and an OPS of .733 in 2022.

Byron Buxton leads the club in home runs with 24 this campaign.  The 28-year-old has driven in 44 runs, second on the Twins with a team leading 151 total bases.  The All-Star centerfielder leads Minnesota in slugging percentage (.535) and second in OPS (.826).

Coming over from the Yankees in the offseason, Gary Sanchez has been serving as Minnesota’s designated hitter in 2022.  On the year, he’s hit 10 home runs and knocked in 40 runs with a .400 slugging percentage.

This season, Blake Snell is 2-5 in 11 starts with a 4.75 ERA.  He’s struck out 71 batters and allowed 29 runs in 55 innings with a 1.455 WHIP in 2022.   Walker has won 51 games in his career with a 3.52 ERA while striking out 747 hitters in 832 1/3 innings.  

San Diego Padres Starting Lineup

LF J. Profar S
2B J. Cronenworth L
3B M. Machado R
DH L. Voit R
C J. Alfaro R
1B E. Hosmer L
SS H. Kim R
RF N. Mazara L
CF T. Grisham L

San Diego Padres Vs. Joe Ryan (R)

Manny Machado is hitting .299 with 16 home runs (leads San Diego) and 54 runs batted in while accumulating a team leading 171 total bases.  Machado has an OPS of .880, .506 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .374 this year.  The Padre All-Star third baseman is +1200 to win the National League MVP.

In 2022, Jake Cronenworth has hit 23 doubles, to lead the Padres, three triples, nine home runs, 49 runs batted in (second on the ballclub) with 144 total bases.  Additionally, the XX-time All-Star has an OPS of .721, .385 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336 this season.  Eric Hosmer is hitting .277 with 16 doubles, seven home runs, 39 runs batted in with 127 total bases.  Hosmer has an OPS of .730, .391 slugging percentage with 90 hits on the season.   

In 2021, Trent Grisham hit .242 with 15 home runs, 28 doubles, and an OPS of .740.  In 2022, Trent Grisham has struggled with his average, currently hitting under .200, but has 11 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 35 runs batted in.  Jurickson Profar is fourth on the team in runs batted in with 40 and third on the club in OPS at .737 this season.  Profar also has hit 21 doubles, two triples, nine home runs with 135 total bases.

Luke Voit who serves mostly as the Padres’ designated hitter is second on the club in home runs with 12.  He’s also driven in 44 runs, accumulated 116 total bases with a .722 OPS in 2022.

Joe Ryan has started 15 games this season, going an impressive 7-3 with a 2.89 ERA.  He’s struck out 73 batters and allowed 26 runs in 81 innings with a 1.049 WHIP in 2022.

Minnesota Twins Vs. San Diego Padres Picks & Prediction

Offensively, the Twins are averaging 4.65 runs per nine innings, 11^th in the majors.  They are hitting .252 as a team, eighth overall in MLB with an OPS of .742, fifth overall.  Minnesota’s pitching staff is allowing 4.30 runs per nine innings, 12^th in Major League Baseball with opponents hitting .240, 13^th overall.

San Diego is scoring 4.35 runs per game, 19^th in the majors.  The Padres are hitting .240 as a team, 17^th in MLB with an OPS of .687 which is 25^th in the big leagues.  San Diego’s pitching staff is allowing 4.10 runs per nine innings, ninth in the majors with opponents hitting .231, fourth in the league. 

I like the road team, Twins to win this game and over the 1.5 run spread behind Joe Ryan, who’s 6-1 with a 2.40 ERA away from home this season.  The clubs will combine to score under 7.5 runs in the game.