Mississippi State comes to Tucson, Arizona, on a cross-country trip to face Arizona on Saturday night. The Bulldogs beat Memphis at home in Week 1 to get their season started and Arizona beat San Diego State on the road too. This is a game that sets up to be a very interesting matchup, so let’s look at the odds, and make some picks and predictions!
Mississippi State vs. Arizona Odds
Mississippi State comes into the game as a 10.5-point favorite while also being at -408 on the moneyline. The over/under is at 60 points which makes sense after both teams’ first games, where they combined for 87 points. I also think the total is a big compliment to Arizona after they had one of the worst offenses in the country last year, and just couldn’t find their footing all year.
The Bulldogs are a scoring machine with the Air Raid, so the total makes sense. This line has been jumping around a bit, keep an eye on this line if it keeps dropping because double digits seems where it should be around.
Mississippi State vs. Arizona Prediction & Pick
The pick here is Arizona at +10.5. I think another pick to look at is over the 60 point total. Arizona came out and shocked a lot of people in the college football world by not just beating San Diego State, but beating them soundly, and it was never that close. Arizona had one of the biggest makeovers this past off-season and it showed itself in spades, especially on offense with Jayden De Laura at quarterback and then Jacob Cowing at wide receiver who also burst onto the scene too. This is one of the first additions of #Pac12AfterDark on the year as well, so don’t be surprised at some weirdness that could happen in the desert.
Arizona is also going to have the best home crowd the program has seen in awhile, so I expect it to be a great environment too, in Arizona’s favor. I think the offenses for each team are going to light up the scoreboard too. Mississippi State’s Air Raid offense is one of the most unstoppable offensive systems in all of college football, and Will Rogers runs it great as the quarterback. He had 450 passing yards and five touchdowns last week to open the year, and now gets a chance to do the same thing to Arizona. The Mississippi State defense is also very experienced, but still count on this game to be a close game with Arizona covering in a weird game and situation for Mississippi State. Expect fireworks for the first #Pac12AfterDark game this year.
Mississippi State vs. Arizona Key Matchups
The biggest key in this game is what the Arizona defense, specifically, the passing defense, can do against Mississippi State’s pass-happy offense. Will Rogers is going to spread the ball around all over the offense, and the question is if Arizona can do anything to disrupt it. Arizona’s defense did get better with what they did in the transfer portal from the defensive line, to the linebackers, and the biggest key in this game, the secondary.
Christian Roland-Wallace is the biggest key in the secondary for them because he will most likely be covering Austin Williams for Mississippi State so that matchup is big on its own because they are each the best in the secondary and the receiving corps, respectively. Will Rogers is going to get his yards just based on how the offense is run, but the deciding factor will be if Arizona can do anything across their passing defense to even remotely slow them down. The most pressure will be on the secondary, but they also need a pass-rush to show up in some form too.