MLB Projected Starting Lineups, Matchups and Injury News 3/28/19
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- Carlos Correa is questionable for Opening Day with a neck issue. Given he battled neck issues last season, Houston might want to start the season with caution.
- Matt Olson broke his hand during the Japan series. He will be out 4-6 weeks. Oakland did just trade for Kendrys Morales, but he will not be available just yet.
- We have known this for a while, but Francisco Lindor won’t be ready. His timetable was derailed after he sprained his ankle in a rehab game.
- The Angels will be without Justin Upton and Shohei Ohtani for the beginning of the season. This leaves Peter Bourjos to fill in the outfield, and Albert Pujols will DH. This will be the case for the first week or so of the season.
Today’s MLB Matchups
Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.
New York Mets (0-0) @ Washington Nationals (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Jacob deGrom (R) vs. Max Scherzer (R)
- Despite facing a good Washington offense, Jacob deGrom allowed just five earned runs in three starts against Washington last season. He also tallied 25 strikeouts in 20.1 innings.
- The last three starts deGrom has made against Washington has gone to hit the over. Mainly due to blowups by the bullpen or the Mets scoring.
- As for Max Scherzer against Washington, two of the three games hit the over.
- The Mets were 46-36 ATS on the road last season.
Baltimore Orioles (0-0) @ New York Yankees (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Andrew Cashner (R) vs. Masahiro Tanaka (R)
- New York has the highest implied run total, sitting over six. No other team comes within a run of six on this slate.
- The Yankees are -337 favorites, the highest on the slate.
- Baltimore is going to be a team to pick on, as they ranked 27th in runs last season and 21st in strikeouts. Masahiro Tanaka is a high ceiling arm for Opening Day.
- When looking back at last season, Andrew Cashner, went six or more innings in each start versus New York.
Atlanta Braves (0-0) @ Philadelphia Phillies (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Julio Teheran (R) vs. Aaron Nola (R)
- While the attraction will be with the left-handed bats, Citizens Bank Park is one of the best parks for right-handed home runs.
- The Bryce Harper buzz is here. Public money is heavy on the Phillies for Opening Day.
- Harper also has some BvP, with eight home runs against Teheran in his career.
- Aaron Nola held the Braves to eight runs over five starts last season.
St. Louis Cardinals (0-0) @ Milwaukee Brewers (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Miles Mikolas (R) vs. Jhoulys Chacin (R)
- Jhoulys Chacin had over a 5.00 ERA against St. Louis in five starts last season.
- Miles Mikolas was able to hold this Milwaukee offense last season. He went six-plus innings in each start, allowing just seven earned runs over the three starts.
- Miller Park ranks as the third best HR park for left-handed hitters.
Detroit Tigers (0-0) @ Toronto Blue Jays (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann (R) vs. Marcus Stroman (R)
- Last season, the under hit 43 times at home for Toronto.
- Detroit is 6-1 in the last seven games against Toronto, and the under has hit in eight of the last ten games for Detroit on the road against Toronto.
Houston Astros (0-0) @ Tampa Bay Rays (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Justin Verlander (R) vs. Blake Snell (L)
- Tampa Bay was one of the better teams to bet on as a dog. They finished the year 40-38. They also were 51-30 ATS at home.
- Over the last ten meetings between the Rays-Astros, they have both averaged less than 3.5 runs per game.
- Blake Snell was dominant at home, with a 10-1 record, and a 1.27 ERA.
Chicago Cubs (0-0) @ Texas Rangers (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Jon Lester (L) vs. Mike Minor (L)
- Jon Lester was one of the biggest overachieving pitchers according to ERA estimators. He had a 4.57 SIERA last season, and a 3.32 ERA. He opens up in a tough ballpark against an offense that is sneaky.
- This game features two of the top three implied totals. Both Chicago and Texas are sitting over 4.5 runs.
- Rangers Ballpark has the best wOBA to right-handed bats. This is a big bump with two lefties on the mound.
Los Angeles Angels (0-0) @ Oakland Athletics (0-2)
Starting Pitchers: Trevor Cahill (R) vs. Mike Fiers (R)
- Trevor Cahill pitched in Oakland last season, and has been one of the better arms when healthy. He has a 50%+ groundball rate, and 20%+ strikeout rate over the last two seasons. He also returns to a spacious ballpark.
- Public money is split so far on this game, but they are heavily leaning on the under nine runs.
- Los Angeles has averaged 4.3 runs per game in their last ten against Oakland.
Arizona Diamondbacks (0-0) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Zack Greinke (R) vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu (L)
- Zack Greinke held his own against his former team last season. He went 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA.
- The projected Diamondbacks lineup will not be the same against left-handed pitching. They have just a .309 wOBA and .160 ISO. They were also just 28-30 against southpaws, even with Pollock and Goldschmidt.
- The Dodgers have won four of their last five games at home against Arizona.
- Hyun-Jin Ryu was another arm better at home. He had a 1.02 ERA compared to a 4.99 ERA on the road.
Pittsburgh Pirates (0-0) @ Cincinnati Reds (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Jameson Taillon (R) vs. Luis Castillo (R)
- Cincinnati was 44-37 ATS at home last season, and the over hit over 50% of the time.
- Pittsburgh’s offense has taken off in the last ten meetings, averaging 6.2 runs per game.
- Public money is heavy on the Pirates as slight underdogs.
Colorado Rockies (0-0) @ Miami Marlins (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Kyle Freeland (L) vs. Jose Urena (R)
- Public money is leaning heavy on the Colorado Rockies to win outright on the road. This comes with no surprise as they face Miami.
- However, Miami was 45-36 ATS at home last season.
- The under has hit in seven of the last ten meetings between these two teams.
Cleveland Indians (0-0) @ Minnesota Twins (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Corey Kluber (R) vs. Jose Berrios (R)
- Jose Berrios had severe home/road splits last season. He had a WHIP under one at home, but that jumped to 1.36 on the road.
- Minnesota was a team that gave Corey Kluber trouble last season, allowing nine earned runs over 18.2 innings, in three starts.
- Target Field plays a lot bigger during the colder months. As the weather starts to warm up, Target Field is more of a hitters park. That shouldn’t happen.
San Francisco Giants (0-0) @ San Diego Padres (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Madison Bumgarner (L) vs. Eric Lauer (L)
- The new look Padres lineup had a .203 ISO and .338 wOBA off southpaws last season.
- Madison Bumgarner is coming a down season, posting a 4.56 xFIP and sub 20% strikeout rate.
- The Padres have lost their last three starts that Eric Lauer has pitched versus San Francisco.
Chicago White Sox (0-0) @ Kansas City Royals (0-0)
Starting Pitchers: Carlos Rodon (L) vs. Brad Keller (R)
- Both Chicago and Kansas City ranked bottom ten in runs last season. They were also bottom three in walks as well.
- The over has gone 5-4-1 in the last ten meetings between these two. Chicago has averaged five runs to Kansas City’s 4.3.
- The Royals were 19-30 against left-handed pitching last season.
Boston Red Sox (0-0) @ Seattle Mariners (2-0)
Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale (L) vs. Marco Gonzales (L)
- Chris Sale has shut out the Mariners in his last two starts. The under has gone 3-0 in the last three versus Seattle that Sale has pitched.
- Boston went 28-16 against left-handed pitching last season.
- The Red Sox will be without Steve Pearce for the beginning of the season, so they will not have his platoon bat in the lineup.