MLB Projected Starting Lineups, Matchups and Injury News 4/12/19

This is a daily post to jumpstart your MLB research for the day. Focusing on matchups, injuries, and lineups you can enhance your knowledge for fantasy, betting, or showing up your friends and family. Follow Lineups on Twitter for live updates on everything you need for sports.


Injury News

  • Mike Trout remains day-to-day, and is questionable for today’s game against the Cubs.
  • Gary Sanchez is listed as questionable, but it is more likely he hits the IL as they called up another catcher on the roster.
  • Travis Shaw left early last night, but x-rays were negative. He is listed as day-to-day.
  • Corey Seager is in a similar boat, but dealing with a hamstring issue. He is listed as questionable for tonight’s game.
  • Jay Bruce might be due back, but he was pulled the other game and sat out yesterday.
  • Alex Bregman is hopeful to feturn, but has missed the last few games with a hamstring injury.

Today’s MLB Matchups

Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.

Los Angeles Angels (7-6) @ Chicago Cubs (4-8)

Starting Pitchers: Tyler Skaggs (L) vs. Cole Hamels (L)

  • With the Angels losing the DH in an NL ballpark, Justin Bour is likely the candidate to sit against the lefty, Cole Hamels.
  • Wrigley winds are a howling, blowing out over 20 mph to left field, and there will be gusts that get up over 30. We could see a high scoring early game in Chicago, and Vegas is all over the wind already.
  • Tyler Skaggs is allowing a 39% hard-contact rate so far this season, but a .305 xwOBA

Pittsburgh Pirates (6-5) @ Washington Nationals (6-5)

Starting Pitchers: Trevor Williams (R) vs. Patrick Corbin (L)

  • Patrick Corbin is a big favorite at home, sitting at -170. He gets a Pittsburgh team that just allowed Jose Quintana to rack up 11 strikeouts against them, and had to travel last night.
  • There are some weather concerns in this game, as pop up showers will be moving in throughout.
  • Anthony Rendon has been red hot this season, with a 60% hard-contact rate and .517 xwOBA.

Chicago White Sox (3-8) @ New York Yankees (5-7)

Starting Pitchers: Lucas Giolito (R) vs. J.A. Happ (L)

  • New York might have a pretty watered down lineup, if Gary Sanchez sits out, leaving a lot of high strikeout prone bats.
  • Rain is predicted in this one, but a late delay is more likely. However, this might have an effect on J.A. Happ.
  • Only two bats have over a 90 mph average exit velocity for Chicago, which is Yoan Moncada and Jose Abreu.

Tampa Bay Rays (10-3) @ Toronto Blue Jays (4-9)

Starting Pitchers: Ryan Stanek (R) vs. Trent Thornton (R)

  • The streaking Rays are just -138 road favorites, taking on the Blue Jays. Public money is heavier on the Rays at the moment.
  • Rowdy Tellaz strikes out a ton, but has an average exit velocity of 94.3 this season. Freddy Galvis and Justin Smoak are the other two names sitting with over a 40% hard-contact rate.

Baltimore Orioles (5-8) @ Boston Red Sox (4-9)

Starting Pitchers: David Hess (R) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (L)

  • Boston is a heavy -253 favorite, despite their recent struggles. They also have an implied total over six runs.
  • Mitch Moreland’s hot streak continued last night, and he has a 51.6% hard-contact rate this season, and his production is actually following.
  • Rafael Devers has been a bit unlucky, and sits with an average exit velocity over 90 mph.
  • Xander Bogaerts currently has a 19% walk rate and 17% strikeout rate.
  • Yes, Chris Davis still hasn’t gotten a hit and has over a 40% strikeout rate to start the season.

Philadelphia Phillies (7-4) @ Miami Marlins (3-10)

Starting Pitchers: Jake Arrieta (R) vs. Sandy Alcantara (R)

  • The Phillies are heavy road favorites, and take on the struggling Miami Marlins tonight as -155 favorites.
  • Philadelphia has four players with over a 20% walk rate, and are all within the top ten in baseball.
  • Jake Arrieta is not a strikeout arm anymore, but has limited hard-contact and has an xwOBA of .312.

New York Mets (8-4) @ Atlanta Braves (7-5)

Starting Pitchers: Zack Wheeler (R) vs. Kyle Wright (R)

  • The Mets have seven bats that have over a 40% hard-contact rate at the season. Robinson Cano is not one of them, sitting with just a 19% hard-contact rate.
  • After struggling in his first few seasons, Dansby Swanson has been enjoying a stellar 2019, with a sub 20% strikeout rate and 93 mph average exit velocity.
  • Zack Wheeler has a 24% strikeout rate and is holding teams to a .279 xwOBA and 27% hard-contact rate.

Oakland Athletics (9-8) @ Texas Rangers (6-6)

Starting Pitchers: Mike Fiers (R) vs. Drew Smyly (L)

  • Oakland is facing another lefty, which means Chad Pinder and Mark Canha will get into the lineup as strong right-handed bats.
  • This has one of the highest totals on the slate, both teams sitting with an implied total over five.
  • Hitters have a launch angle of 20.2 degrees, as Drew Smyly is a big flyball arm, but has limited teams so far this season. Mike Fiers on the other side has not, allowing a 37% hard-contact rate and .480 xSLG.

Cleveland Indians (8-4) @ Kansas City Royals (2-10)

Starting Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco (R) vs. Brad Keller (R)

  • Carlos Carrasco is a bigger road favorite at -153, and the Royals have an implied total under 3.5. Carrasco is likely going to be the popular DFS arm.
  • Brad Keller has been able to limit the damage in KC, with minimal hard-contact, but doesn’t offer much strikeout upside like his counterpart, Carrasco who has a 30% strikeout rate.
  • Hard to tell if Jose Ramirez is healthy or not, but his batted ball stats might be a sign he isn’t. He has a .244 xwOBA and sub 30% hard-contact rate.

San Diego Padres (9-5) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (6-7)

Starting Pitchers: Chris Paddack (R) vs. Luke Weaver (R)

  • San Diego has five bats over a 40% hard-contact rate, and both outfielders of Hunter Renfroe and Franmil Reyes led the team. Strikeouts are there, but the power negates it a bit.
  • Chris Paddack relies a bit much on the fastball and changeup, only working in that curve 8% of the time. We will see how this pitch mix holds up, even though he has very good stuff.

Houston Astros (8-5) @ Seattle Mariners (13-2)

Starting Pitchers: Wade Miley (L) vs. Wade LeBlanc (L)

  • Despite the red-hot Mariners, Houston is coming off a sweep of the Yankees, and are -141 favorites tonight with a 4.9 implied total.
  • We get a battle of the Wades tonight, but both sit with a sub 20^ strikeout rate, but haven’t allowed a ton of hard-contact either.
  • George Springer is already a great play against lefties, but his 54% hard-contact rate leads the team. Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve are next at 40%.

Milwaukee Brewers (8-5) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (8-6)

Starting Pitchers: Corbin Burnes (R) vs. Julio Urias (L)

  • Corbin Burnes has some nasty stuff, but has had some trouble keeping the ball in the yard. Not a great team to face given they have four bats with over a .500 xSLG and a ton of pop regardless.
  • Julio Urias will have his hands full in this start, taking on some right-handed bats that mash lefties.
  • Both pitchers throw a similar pitch mix, but rely on the fastball over 50% of the time.

Colorado Rockies (3-10) @ San Francisco Giants (5-9)

Starting Pitchers: Chad Bettis (R) vs. Drew Pomeranz (L)

  • With a lefty on the hill, Colorado will likely opt to use Josh Fuentes and Yonathan Daza in the lineup to get some more right-handed bats in there.
  • Colorado’s offense has not gotten the memo that the season has started. Outside of Trevor Story and Mark Reynolds, nobody has over a 40% hard-contact rate.
  • Chad Bettis has allowed a 38% hard-contact rate, while Pomeranz is sitting at 36% allowed. Both have under a 20% strikeout rate.
  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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