MLB Projected Starting Lineups, Matchups and Injury News 4/15/19

This is a daily post to jumpstart your MLB research for the day. Focusing on matchups, injuries, and lineups you can enhance your knowledge for fantasy, betting, or showing up your friends and family. Follow Lineups on Twitter for live updates on everything you need for sports.


Injury News

  • Harrison Bader and Billy Hamilton are two center fielders who are questionable for tonight’s game.
  • Mike Trout is due back soon, but still listed as day-to-day.
  • Jason Kipnis is due back tonight, and will likely be in the lineup.
  • Andrew Benintendi and Jackie Bradley Jr are not in the lineup.

Today’s MLB Matchups

Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.

Baltimore Orioles (7-6) @ Boston Red Sox (4-8)

Starting Pitchers: Dan Straily (R) vs. Hector Velazquez (R)

  • The Marathon Day Red Sox game is an early one, and we see Hector Velazquez making a start to push back some of the other names. Andrew Benintendi isn’t in the lineup, as Dustin Pedroia leads off with Steve Pearce in the lineup. Jackie Bradley Jr is also out.
  • Baltimore sit as +222 dogs, but are an intriguing bet given the Sox are going with a below average right-hander on the hill, and missing some key outfielders.
  • Dan Straily has allowed an average exit velocity of 92.6mph, and has yet to strike anybody out.

New York Mets (9-6) @ Philadelphia Phillies (9-5)

Starting Pitchers: Noah Syndergaard (R) vs. Aaron Nola (R)

  • With two premium pitchers, this game is set for a low total as both teams are under four implied runs. Philly sit as slight favorites.
  • J.D. Davis and Pete Alonso continue to mash, with a hard-contact rate over 60%. Wilson Ramos and Amed Rosario both are sitting over 50%.
  • Aaron Nola is sitting with a .362 xwOBA allowed and 40.9% hard-contact rate. A bit concerning out of the gate here.

Chicago Cubs (5-9) @ Miami Marlins (4-12)

Starting Pitchers: Yu Darvish (R) vs. Trevor Richards (R)

  • After a rainout yesterday, Chicago will travel to Miami to take on the Marlins. They are -142 road favorites, but are implied under 4.5 runs.
  • Yu Darvish has a higher walk rate than strikeout rate this year, and sits with a .391 xwOBA. Trevor Richards has been on the opposite side. He has allowed a .287 xwOBA and has a 25% strikeout rate.

Toronto Blue Jays (5-11) @ Minnesota Twins (4-8)

Starting Pitchers: Matt Shoemaker (R) vs. Martin Perez (L)

  • It is another cold one in Minnesota, and two arms could make this a high scoring game. Matt Shoemaker has pitched well, but has always had blowup tendencies due to the long ball.
  • Matt Shoemaker has allowed a 37% hard-contact rate this season, and .329 xwOBA. He is over-performing a bit, but has a 27% strikeout rate.
  • Minnesota has six bats so far this season with over a 40% hard-contact rate.

St. Louis Cardinals (9-6) @ Milwaukee Brewers (10-6)

Starting Pitchers: Dakota Hudson (R) vs. Freddy Peralta (R)

  • Division rivals clash today, and Milwaukee come in as slight -129 home favorites with an implied total over five.
  • Yasmani Grandal leads the Brewers in hard-contact, just a shade over Travis Shaw and Christian Yelich.
  • Both pitchers in this game have allowed over a 40% hard-contact rate, but Freddy Peralta has a much lower xwOBA at .289.

Los Angeles Angels (7-6) @ Texas Rangers (4-8)

Starting Pitchers: Trevor Cahill (R) vs. Shelby Miller (R)

  • Both team totals are over five, and Mike Trout is still not a lock to be in the lineup for Los Angeles. It is a watered down Angels lineup, but could have some value against Shelby Miller.
  • Not much has changed for Miller in Texas, allowed a .436 xwOBA.

Kansas City Royals (7-6) @ Chicago White Sox (4-8)

Starting Pitchers: Heath Fillmyer (R) vs. Ervin Santana (R)

  • Two below average right-handers in a hitter’s ballpark could produce some runs here. Chicago is coming off a strong series against the Yankees.
  • Yoan Moncada has made some excellent improvements, cutting down his strikeout rate to below less than 25%. He is also second to Yonder Alonso in hard-contact rate.
  • Hunter Dozier has been excellent, sporting above average numbers in exit velocity, xwOBA, and K%.

Cleveland Indians (8-6) @ Seattle Mariners (13-5)

Starting Pitchers: Trevor Bauer (R) vs. Yusei Kikuchi (L)

  • Cleveland and Seattle is a pick’em game, and Trevor Bauer easily has the highest upside on the slate for DFS purposes.
  • Seattle has six bats with over a 25% strikeout rate projected in their lineup.
  • Carlos Santana continues to be one of the best bats in Cleveland, sporting a team high 50% hard-contact rate and .400 xwOBA.

Cincinnati Reds (5-9) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (9-8)

Starting Pitchers: Luis Castillo (R) vs. Clayton Kershaw (L)

  • The Dodgers are -153 favorites, as Clayton Kershaw makes his return after some concerning injury issues. Expect the Dodgers to be cautious with him, and we will need to keep an eye on his overall velocity and movement.
  • Luis Castillo has been tremendous this season, with a 35% strikeout rate and .193 xwOBA. All starts have been at home so far, where he had a 3.51 ERA last season, but a 5.03 ERA on the road.
  • Kerhsaw is making his debut for 2018, coming off a season where his strikeouts were down, and hard-contact was up.

Colorado Rockies (4-12) @ San Diego Padres (11-6)

Starting Pitchers: Antonio Senzatela (R) vs. Joey Lucchesi (L)

  • Colorado are +146 underdogs against Joey Lucchesi, and have the lowest implied total on the slate.
  • Average exit velocity off Joey Lucchesi is 85 mph and he has a 27% strikeout rate this season. Colorado has been one of the worst offenses in baseball to start the season.
  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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