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- Andrew Benintendi and Jackie Bradley Jr are both questionable again for today’s game. They both sat out yesterday’s game against Baltimore.
- The Tigers could be very short-handed, as Josh Harrison, Nick Castellanos, and Niko Goodrum are all questionable.
- Cody Bellinger left last night”s game with a leg injury, and is listed as day-to-day.
Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.
Boston Red Sox (6-11) @ New York Yankees (6-9)
Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale (L) vs. James Paxton (L)
- Two struggling teams with two struggling lefties square off in the Bronx tonight. Sale has a 13.1% strikeout rate this season, and while he is allowing a lot of weak contact, xwOBA is over .360.
- Paxton has allowed a 57% hard-contact rate, but carries his usual 28% strikeout rate. His xwOBA is more league average, which still isn’t great in comparison to his skills.
- The over is 7-3 over the last ten meetings between these two teams, with an average of 11 combined runs.
Pittsburgh Pirates (8-6) @ Detroit Tigers (8-7)
Starting Pitchers: Joe Musgrove (R) vs. Matt Boyd (L)
- Matt Boyd has a 40% strikeout rate this season, and 8.3% walk rate. He is holding teams to a .235 xwOBA, and has been one of the most improved arms this season.
- Joe Musgrove is living up to his hype before the season, sitting with a 27% strikeout rate, and holding teams to a .241 xwOBA and .195 xBA.
- The under has been favorable in both Detroit and Pittsburgh to start the season.
New York Mets (10-6) @ Philadelphia Phillies (9-6)
Starting Pitchers: Steven Matz (L) vs. Nick Pivetta (R)
- The Mets have lost Steven Matz’s last three starts against the Phillies, and the over has hit in Nick Pivetta’s last three starts against the Mets.
- The over is a combined 19-7-1 with these two teams this season.
San Francisco Giants (7-10) @ Washington Nationals (7-7)
Starting Pitchers: Derek Rodriguez (R) vs. Stephen Strasburg (R)
- Washington is averaging 5.9 runs per game this season, compared to San Francisco’s 2.7.
- The under is 6-3-1 in the last ten meetings.
- Dereck Rodriguez isn’t a high strikeout arm like Strasburg, but has been limiting hard-contact below 30%
Chicago Cubs (6-9) @ Miami Marlins (4-13)
Starting Pitchers: Jose Quintana (L) vs. Pablo Lopez (R)
- Miami comes in 1-4 against left-handed pitching, and are 4-5 ATS at home.
- Cubs are hefty favorites for being on the road at -141.
- Four bats have over a 45% hard-contact rate this season, but neither of them are Anthony Rizzo and
Baltimore Orioles (7-10) @ Tampa Bay Rays (12-4)
Starting Pitchers: Dylan Bundy (R) vs. Tyler Glasnow (R)
- Tampa Bay opened as -250 favorites at home against the hapless Baltimore Orioles. Tyler Glasnow is 3-0 on the season, dominating in each start.
- Over the last ten games, the over is 8-2 and both teams have averaged over six runs. Doubt that stays the same for Baltimore tonight.
- Glasnow has a 32.8% strikeout rate and 4.7% walk rate this season. His xwOBA allowed is .230.
Arizona Diamondbacks (7-9) @ Atlanta Braves (9-6)
Starting Pitchers: Robbie Ray (L) vs. Max Fried (L)
- Atlanta is 4-1 against left-handed pitching, and are about even when it comes to their games hitting the over. Both teams are averaging over five runs to start the season.
- Josh Donaldson will start to come around at some point with his actual stats. His hard-contact sits at 56% and xwOBA is .395.
- Robbie Ray has a 33% strikeout rate this season, but an abysmal 17% walk rate.
Toronto Blue Jays (6-11) @ Minnesota Twins (8-5)
Starting Pitchers: Aaron Sanchez (R) vs. Kyle Gibson (R)
- Toronto as a team is averaging 10.3 strikeouts per game this season, while Minnesota sits at just 7.4 per game.
- Kyle Gibson is 2-0 in his last three starts against Toronto, averaging seven strikeouts per start.
- Byron Buxton has a 58% hard-contact rate this season, and his strikeout rate has been cut down a bit. He leads the team in hard-contact.
St. Louis Cardinals (9-7) @ Milwaukee Brewers (11-6)
Starting Pitchers: Jack Flaherty (R) vs. Brandon Woodruff (R)
- Jack Flaherty is posted mediocre starts over the last three outings against Milwaukee, allowing seven earned runs, and only making it six innings twice.
- While both Flaherty and Woodruff are allowing a lot of hard-contact, it is typical with high strikeout arms. Both are near 30% to start the season.
Los Angeles Angels (8-8) @ Texas Rangers (8-7)
Starting Pitchers: Matt Harvey (R) vs. Mike Minor (L)
- The under is 8-2 in the last ten meetings between these two teams.
- Mike Trout was in the lineup last night, but just be cautious before plugging him in until he is confirmed again.
- Mike Minor has some solid expected stats, allowing a .209 xBA and .302 xwOBA.
Kansas City Royals (5-11) @ Chicago White Sox (6-9)
Starting Pitchers: Jorge Lopez (R) vs. Reynaldo Lopez (R)
- The over is 5-4-1 in the last ten meetings, and both teams have averaged over four runs per game. At home, the over is 5-1 for the Sox, and 2-1 on the road for KC.
- Reynaldo Lopez struggled has allowed a 24.2 launch angle, 51% hard-contact rate and has a 16% walk rate and strikeout rate. Not strong for a pitcher trying to turn the table.
Colorado Rockies (5-12) @ San Diego Padres (11-7)
Starting Pitchers: Jon Gray (R) vs. Nick Margevicius (L)
- Jon Gray is a slight underdog against San Diego, which has caused the public to pound Colorado on the moneyline.
- He has won his last three starts against San Diego, and the under is 3-0 in those games.
- Trevor Story is a strong bat against left-handed pitching, and has over a 50% hard-contact rate this season.
Cleveland Indians (9-7) @ Seattle Mariners (13-6)
Starting Pitchers: Shane Bieber (R) vs. Mike Leake (R)
- Cleveland is averaging just 3.4 runs per game this season, compared to Seattle’s seven per game. Both teams are strikeout prone, averaging nearly ten per game.
- Both arms are allowing over a 40% hard-contact rate this season, but Mike Leake’s xwOBA is .370. Bieber has a 30% strikeout rate this season.
Cincinnati Reds (5-10) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (10-8)
Starting Pitchers: Tyler Mahle (R) vs. Kenta Maeda (R)
- The over is 4-5-1 over the last ten meetings between these two. The Dodgers are just 8-7 as favorites this season.
- Kenta Maeda has allowed a 20.8% hard-contact rate this season, while Tyler Mahle has allowed a 50% hard-contact rate.
- Cody Bellinger and Joc Pederson continue to be some of the hottest bats in baseball, with over a 50% hard-contact rate.
Houston Astros (11-5) @ Oakland Athletics (10-9)
Starting Pitchers: Collin McHugh (R) vs. Marco Estrada (R)
- Houston has been red hot lately, and are taking on one of their divisional competitors. They are 10-5 as favorites this season.
- Kendrys Morales has been surprisingly dialed in, he has a 56% hard-contact rate and 95mph exit velocity.
- McHugh has been excellent this season with a 33% strikeout rate and 20% hard-contact rate allowed.