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- Rhys Hoskins is back in the lineup after missing a game with a sore ankle. Nick Pivetta has been sent down to Triple-A. Jean Segura is out of the lineup with a hamstring issue.
- Cody Bellinger sat out last night, and the Dodgers will likely take their time with Bellinger.
- Andrew Benintendi remains day-to-day and is questionable heading into tonight’s game with New York.
- Chris Davis was scratched from yesterday’s game, and should be considered questionable for tonights.
Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.
New York Mets (10-7) @ Philadelphia Phillies (10-6)
Starting Pitchers: Zack Wheeler (R) vs. Jake Arrieta (R)
- Both Zack Wheeler and Jake Arrieta are allowing over a 40% hard-contact rate this season.
- Rhys Hoskins was out of the lineup yesterday with a swollen ankle. It sounds like an injury that could keep him out again today.
- Andrew McCutchen is leading the Phillies in hard-contact, sitting at 57% this season.
St. Louis Cardinals (9-8) @ Milwaukee Brewers (12-6)
Starting Pitchers: Michael Wacha (R) vs. Corbin Burnes (R)
- Yasmani Grandal and Christian Yelich are sitting with an identical 56.4% hard-contact rate. Travis Shaw, Ryan Braun, and Mike Moustakas are also over 40%.
- While Corbin Burnes has a 30% strikeout rate, he is also allowing a 48% hard-contact rate and .661 xSLG.
- Michael Wacha has struggled out of the gates, with an 18% walk rate and 43% hard-contact rate allowed.
Kansas City Royals (5-12) @ Chicago White Sox (7-9)
Starting Pitchers: Brad Keller (R) vs. Lucas Giolito (R)
- Both Brad Keller and Lucas Giolito have 12% walk rate, but over a 20% strikeout rate. Hard-contact also sits over 40% for both allowed.
- Ryan O’Hearn and Hunter Dozier continue to be two young bats bringing a ton of power. Both have under a 20% strikeout rate, and hard-contact rate over 45%.
- Eloy Jimenez has struggled at the major league level so far, and expected stats don’t show much improvement right now.
Cincinnati Reds (5-11) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (11-8)
Starting Pitchers: Sony Gray (R) vs. Walker Buehler (R)
- Walker Buehler’s strikeout stuff is down a bit, sitting at a 16% strikeout rate. He isn’t allowing a ton of hard-contact, but expected stats are about league average.
- Sonny Gray has a 24% strikoeut rate this season, and .297 xwOBA. Tough matchup for Gray against the powerful Dodgers.
Boston Red Sox (6-12) @ New York Yankees (7-9)
Starting Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi (R) vs. J.A. Happ (L)
- J.D. Martinez and Mitch Moreland both have over a 50% hard-contact rate this season, and Martinez has actually been unlucky to start the season.
- J.A. Happ and Nathan Eovaldi both have struggled this season. Eovaldi can’t find the strike zone with a 14% walk rate. Both have a .610 xSLG as well.
- Happ’s fastball usage is over 60% and he is getting cleaned out. Could be a spot for Boston bats to wake up.
Cleveland Indians (10-7) @ Seattle Mariners (13-7)
Starting Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco (R) vs. Erik Swanson (R)
- Carlos Carrasco is coming off a start where he didn’t even make it out of the first inning. He still holds a 31% strikeout rate, but everything else has blown up.
- While Seattle has been tearing it up, they have seven bats with over a 22% strikeout rate, giving big upside chances to opposing pitchers.
Pittsburgh Pirates (9-6) @ Detroit Tigers (8-8)
Starting Pitchers: Trevor Williams (R) vs. Spencer Turnbull (R)
- Josh Bell has turned things around this season, with a 94 mph average exit velocity and .609 xSLG. Both him, Collin Moran, and Adam Frazier all have above average expected stats.
- Spencer Turnbull has made some changes, and has caused him to take a turn in the right direction. He has a 28% strikeout rate this season, holding opponents to a 24% hard-contact rate.
San Francisco Giants (8-10) @ Washington Nationals (7-8)
Starting Pitchers: Jeff Samardzija (R) vs. Jeremy Hellickson (R)
- Hard not to continue to reference Anthony Rendon and his .525 xwOBA and 66% hard-contact rate. Howie Kendrick has also been hitting the ball well early with an average exit velocity of 96 mph.
- Jeff Samardzija has about average stats, with his only knock being hard-contact allowed. Tough matchup for him against Washington.
Chicago Cubs (7-9) @ Miami Marlins (4-14)
Starting Pitchers: Cole Hamels (L) vs. Sandy Alcantara (R)
- Like the rest of the Cubs staff, Cole Hamels looks to be showing some age early. Strikeout rate is down below 20%, and he has an xSLG of .461 with a 51% hard-contact rate allowed.
- Sandy Alcantara hasn’t shown strikeout stuff, but is holding hitters to a 23% hard-contact rate and .280 xwOBA.
- Jorge Alfaro and Neil Walker lead the Marlins in hard-contact, but also have below average strikeout rates.
Baltimore Orioles (7-11) @ Tampa Bay Rays (13-4)
Starting Pitchers: David Hess (R) vs. TBD (R)
- All of Tampa Bay’s four main outfielders have over a 40% hard-contact rate and xwOBA over .360.
- Yandy Diaz is one of a few hitters with a higher walk rate than strikeout rate. Diaz has a 15.9% walk rate to 14.3% strikeout rate.
- Not much has changed for David Hess. he is allowing a .382 xwOBA and 43% hard-contact rate.
Arizona Diamondbacks (8-9) @ Atlanta Braves (9-7)
Starting Pitchers: Zack Godley (R) vs. Kevin Gausman (R)
- It is tough sledding for opposing pitchers, Josh Donaldson, Ronald Acuna, Nick Markakis, Tyler Flowers, Freddie Freeman, and Johan Camargo all have over a 40% hard-contact rate this season, and are tops in xwOBA.
- Zack Godley has allowed a .410 xwOBA and 37% hard-contact rate this season. He still relies heavily on his sinker and curveball.
- Kevin Gausman has looked good in return, allowing a 31% hard-contact rate and 26% strikeout rate so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays (7-11) @ Minnesota Twins (8-6)
Starting Pitchers: Trent Thornton (R) vs. Jake Odorizzi (R)
- Both Trent Thornton and Jake Odorizzi have over a 30% strikeout rate to start the season. However, expected stats side with Odorizzi despite the 20% walk rate.
- Minnesota has six hitters with over a 40% hard-contact rate so far this season. Toronto has six as well.
Los Angeles Angels (8-9) @ Texas Rangers (9-7)
Starting Pitchers: Matt Harvey (R) vs. Lance Lynn (R)
- Joey Gallo is one of the top bats in expected stat differences. Yes the strikeout rate is still over 30%, but he has a .491 xwOBA and 97 mph average exit velocity.
- Lance Lynn has held opponents to a 25% hard-contact rate, and has a 24% strikeout rate so far this season. His expected stats are also rather low. Not the same for Matt Harvey, who has a .434 xwOBA and 40% hard-contact rate allowed.
Houston Astros (12-5) @ Oakland Athletics (10-10)
Starting Pitchers: Wade Miley (L) vs. Frankie Montas (R)
- Tough draw for Wade Miley tonight, taking on a right-handed heavy lineup that can punish southpaws.
- Matt Chapman, Khris Davis, Chad Pinder, and Stephen Piscotty all have over a 40% hard-contact rate.
- Jose Altuve and George Springer lead the Astros in expected stats and hard-contact.