MLB Projected Starting Lineups, Matchups and Injury News 4/19/19

This is a daily post to jumpstart your MLB research for the day. Focusing on matchups, injuries, and lineups you can enhance your knowledge for fantasy, betting, or showing up your friends and family. Follow Lineups on Twitter for live updates on everything you need for sports.


Injury News

  • With Dustin Pedroia on the IL, Eduardo Nunez might return to the lineup for Boston. He is still listed as questionable. Andrew Benintendi is expected back in the lineup.
  • Josh Harrison is a questionable leadoff man tonight for the Tigers. He has been dealing with nagging injuries the last few weeks.
  • Carlos Santana has been dealing with a hamstring injury, and is questionable today.

Today’s MLB Matchups

Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.

Arizona Diamondbacks (10-9) @ Chicago Cubs (8-9)

Starting Pitchers: Merrill Kelly (R) vs. Kyle Hendricks (R)

  • Big Wrigley wind game today in Chicago, but wind is blowing in to help out pitchers. It is over 20mph winds blowing in from right field.
  • Merrill Kelly has been respectable through his first few 2019 starts, sitting with a 23% strikeout rate and 4% walk rate. His xwOBA is also under .300.
  • Kyle Hendricks has been on the opposite side of the spectrum, allowing a 42% hard-contact rate and over a .400 xwOBA.

Minnesota Twins (9-7) @ Baltimore Orioles (8-12)

Starting Pitchers: Jose Berrios (R) vs. Alex Cobb (R)

  • Minnesota are heavy favorites sitting at -190, as Jose Berrios will look to shut down a weak Baltimore offense. The Twins also are one of the few teams with an implied total of five.
  • Jose Berrios has been solid this season, allowing under a 35% hard-contact rate and has a 28% strikeout rate. Great spot for him against a Baltimore team that has countless bats with over a 25% strikeout rate.

San Francisco Giants (8-12) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (10-6)

Starting Pitchers: Madison Bumgarner (L) vs. Jordan Lyles (R)

  • This projects to be one of the lower scoring games on the slate, as both teams are under four runs. Big ballpark with two decent pitchers on the hill will help.
  • Madison Bumgarner has allowed a 43% hard-contact rate and has just a 22% strikeout rate this season. He isn’t an elite name anymore, but is in a good spot tonight.
  • Jordan Lyles has made some nice adjustments, with a 28% strikeout rate, and a usage of 32% on his curveball.

Chicago White Sox (7-11) @ Detroit Tigers (9-9)

Starting Pitchers: Carlos Rodon (L) vs. Jordan Zimmermann (R)

  • Another wind and weather game here, as Detroit could see some rain. Winds are blowing out to right over 20 mph.
  • After a hot start to the season, Jordan Zimmermann has come back down to earth. His expected stats are still slightly above league average though.
  • Carlos Rodon has a 30% strikeout rate, and a .268 xwOBA. His 40% slider usage has given him some big strikeout upside.

Washington Nationals (9-8) @ Miami Marlins (4-15)

Starting Pitchers: Anibal Sanchez (R) vs. Caleb Smith (L)

  • Washington are small road favorites at -132, but this projects to be a low scoring game that doesn’t appeal well for DFS.
  • Caleb Smith has had nasty stuff, just has failed to put it all together. So far hitters have an 18% hard-contact rate against him, and a 32% strikeout rate.
  • Anibal Sanchez has been pretty pedestrian, but continues to hold hard-contact to a minimum at 23%.

Kansas City Royals (6-12) @ New York Yankees (8-9)

Starting Pitchers: Jake Junis (R) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)

  • Wind and weather in this game as well, with it blowing more left to right. The Yankees are implied for five runs, and are heavy favorites at -189.
  • Jake Junis is a slider happy pitcher, and when it is on he has all the strikeout potential in the world. When it is off, it could be a quick night with the long ball.
  • C.C. Sabathia will make his second start in 2019. He had an 18% strikeout rate in his debit with a 39% hard-contact rate allowed. He threw his cutter and slider almost exclusively.

Boston Red Sox (6-13) @ Tampa Bay Rays (14-5)

Starting Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez (L) vs. Ryan Stanek (R)

  • Andrew Benintendi is due back into the lineup, but Dustin Pedroia is hitting the IL which brings Eduardo Nunez into the picture more.
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has held opponents to a 25% hard-contact rate and .315 xwOBA. He looked good in his last start, after a few poor ones to start the season.
  • He will need to dodge some hot right-handed bats like Avisail Garcia, Tommy Pham, and Yandy Diaz.

Atlanta Braves (9-9) @ Cleveland Indians (11-7) (PPD)

Starting Pitchers: Touki Toissaint (R) vs. Corey Kluber (R)

  • Rain is in the area for this game, which is the theme of the slate. Corey Kluber is a -151 home favorite against a good Atlanta offense.
  • Corey Kluber has looked off this season, allowing a 43% hard-contact rate, and has a double-digit walk rate. His strikeouts are also down. He will face an Atlanta team that doesn’t strikeout much. Only two everyday players have over a 20% strikeout rate.
  • Carlos Santana has a 20% walk rate and 13% strikeout rate, with a .398 xwOBA.

Houston Astros (12-6) @ Texas Rangers (10-7)

Starting Pitchers: Justin Verlander (R) vs. Drew Smyly (L)

  • Houston is one of the bigger road favorites, taking on Texas once again. Justin Verlander is a -195 favorite, and Houston also has an implied total over five.
  • Texas has two hitters with over a 60% hard-contact rate this season, Joey Gallo and Shin-Soo Choo.
  • Verlander still has his strikeout stuff after a few rocky outings, sitting over 30%. Texas has five bats with over a 20% strikeout rate.

Los Angeles Dodgers (13-8) @ Milwaukee Brewers (12-8)

Starting Pitchers: Ross Stripling (R) vs. Jhoulys Chacin (R)

  • It is a relatively high total for both teams, as they both have an implied total over 4.5. The Dodgers are also -120 favorites.
  • Both starting pitchers have been on and off to start the year, and draw tough matchups. Between the two teams there are eight players with over a 50% hard-contact rate.
  • Chacin has had a few run-ins with the Dodgers in his career, and most of the time they have not ended well. In over 150 PA against this roster, he has allowed a .380 wOBA and has a 16% strikeout rate.

New York Mets (10-8) @ St. Louis Cardinals (10-8)

Starting Pitchers: Jason Vargas (L) vs. Adam Wainwright (R)

  • Brandon Nimmo sat out the last game, and is listed as questionable for tonight. Keep an eye on the leadoff spot.
  • St. Louis has a near five implied total, and might get overlooked on this slate.
  • Jason Vargas against this Cardinals roster has struggled allowing a .408 wOBA and 11% strikeout rate.

Philadelphia Phillies (11-7) @ Colorado Rockies (7-12)

Starting Pitchers: Vince Velasquez (R) vs. German Marquez (R)

  • Both teams are flirting with an implied total of five, and the Rockies are slight favorites. It is pretty good hitting weather as well.
  • German Marquez has continued his second half trend from 2018. He has a 25% strikeout rate, and hitters have an xBA of .202 against him.
  • Vince Velasquez’s strikeout stuff is down a bit, but he has also been limiting hard-contact to under 30%.

Seattle Mariners (14-8) @ Los Angeles Angels (8-11)

Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales (L) vs. Felix Pena (R)

  • This game sets up as a close pick’em, and both teams are a shade over four for an implied total.
  • Marco Gonzales has ben doing his usual allowing a ton of contact, but it is weak and not generating much in the expected stats. He takes on a mediocre Angels lineup tonight.
  • Felix Pena relies on his slider, which overall he has been hit hard, over 50% this season. His xwOBA is at .440.

Toronto Blue Jays (8-12) @ Oakland Athletics (11-10)

Starting Pitchers: Marcus Stroman (R) vs. Aaron Brooks (R)

  • Not a lot of offense projected for this game, as Oakland comes in with a 4.3 implied total and Toronto sits with 3.8.
  • With Marcus Stroman using his slider more, he has a 24% strikeout rate this season, but also a 10% walk rate. He is still one of the better groundball pitchers in baseball too.

Cincinnati Reds (6-12) @ San Diego Padres (11-9)

Starting Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani (R) vs. Matt Strahm (L)

  • Vegas is looking for very little from both offenses, and both arms have chances to spin pretty good outings. San Diego are -130 home favorites.
  • Anthony DeSclafani is interesting in this spot as he has a 26% strikeout rate, and is holding hard-contact to under 35%.
  • Matt Strahm has not had a breakout season, sitting with a 14% strikeout rate and .383 xwOBA. However the Reds do struggle against left-handed pitching.
  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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