MLB Projected Starting Lineups, Matchups and Injury News 4/20/19

This is a daily post to jumpstart your MLB research for the day. Focusing on matchups, injuries, and lineups you can enhance your knowledge for fantasy, betting, or showing up your friends and family. Follow Lineups on Twitter for live updates on everything you need for sports.


Injury News

  • Francisco Lindor was activated and is due back in one of the games today.
  • Starling Marte is out of the lineup today after being carted off.
  • Double back on the Game 2’s of the doubleheaders, as lineups likely won’t be posted given they are going right after one another.
  • Jean Segura and Andrew McCutchen both are questionable for the Phillies today.

Today’s MLB Matchups

Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.

Kansas City Royals (7-13) @ New York Yankees (9-10)

Starting Pitchers: Heath Fillmyer (R) vs. Masahiro Tanaka (R)

  • I could barely recognize the Yankees lineup put out today, but they still have over a five implied total at home and are -240 favorites.
  • Heath Fillmyer is allowing a .376 xwOBA and 48% hard-contact rate this season. His strikeout rate is also at 10%. Despite the lineup NY has out, they should tee off here.

New York Mets (11-8) @ St. Louis Cardinals (10-9)

Starting Pitchers: Chris Flexen (R) vs. Miles Mikolas (R)

  • After missing some time, Brandon Nimmo is back in the leadoff spot, pushing Jeff McNeil back to sixth.
  • Miles Mikolas has regressed a bit, allowing a 38% hard-contact rate and average expected stats. His 12% strikeout rate makes him an unappealing fantasy option.

Arizona Diamondbacks (10-10) @ Chicago Cubs (9-9)

Starting Pitchers: Zack Greinke (R) vs. Yu Darvish (R)

  • Another wind game, as 15mph winds are blowing in from left field. Both run totals sit under four at the moment.
  • Yu Darvish has an 18% walk rate this season, and .357 xwOBA. Zack Greinke has a 29% strikeout rate, and 4.1% walk rate.

San Francisco Giants (8-13) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (11-6)

Starting Pitchers: Derek Holland (L) vs. Jameson Taillon (R)

  • The Pirates are just -134 favorites today, even with Jameson Taillon on the hill. Starling Marte left last night’s game after a scary collision, and it is tough to see him back in.
  • Holland has a 29% strikeout rate, using that slider nearly 30% of the time this season. Taillon is in the same boat using it 33% of the time, but strikeouts haven’t been there just yet.

Toronto Blue Jays (9-12) @ Oakland Athletics (11-11)

Starting Pitchers: Matt Shoemaker (R) vs. Mike Fiers (R)

  • Toronto comes in with one of the lower team total on the slate, bur are not in the worst spot against Mike Fiers.
  • Mike Fiers and Matt Shoemaker both have over a .400 xSLG.
  • Kendrys Morales continues to mash, with a 54% hard-contact rate.

Atlanta Braves (9-9) @ Cleveland Indians (11-7) (Game 1)

Starting Pitchers: Julio Teheran (R) vs. Corey Kluber (R)

  • Corey Kluber has looked off this season, allowing a 43% hard-contact rate, and has a double-digit walk rate. His strikeouts are also down. He will face an Atlanta team that doesn’t strikeout much. Only two everyday players have over a 20% strikeout rate.
  • Carlos Santana has a 20% walk rate and 13% strikeout rate, with a .398 xwOBA.

Atlanta Braves (9-9) @ Cleveland Indians (11-7) (Game 2)

Starting Pitchers: Touki Toussaint (R) vs. Trevor Bauer (R)

  • Francisco Lindor is due back in one of these games, and will likely just play one given he is coming off the injury. Carlos Santana remains questionable.
  • The Indians are favored in the second game as well, sitting at -154. Both run totals are unattractive given the pitching options going.

Washington Nationals (9-9) @ Miami Marlins (5-15)

Starting Pitchers: Max Scherzer (R) vs. Jose Urena (R)

  • Max Scherzer and the Nationals are one of the bigger favorites on the day, sitting over -200. Miami has an implied total under three.
  • Jose Urena has allowed a 45% hard-contact rate and 93 average exit velocity.

Boston Red Sox (7-13) @ Tampa Bay Rays (14-6)

Starting Pitchers: Rick Porcello (R) vs. Charlie Morton (R)

  • Boston come in as road underdogs against Charlie Morton and the Rays. With the middle infield injuries, Tzu-Wei Lin will likely get more starts moving forward.
  • Rick Porcello has not been unlucky, he has just been bad. He has a higher walk rate than strikeout rate, and an xwOBA over .380.
  • Charlie Morton has carried over his Houston success, with a 30% strikeout rate this season. However, Boston has had his number last few times out.

Minnesota Twins (9-7) @ Baltimore Orioles (8-12) (Game 1)

Starting Pitchers: Jose Berrios (R) vs. Dan Straily (R)

  • Jose Berrios has been solid this season, allowing under a 35% hard-contact rate and has a 28% strikeout rate. Great spot for him against a Baltimore team that has countless bats with over a 25% strikeout rate.
  • The Twins have a monster 5.7 implied total against Dan Straily, getting a big bump all around.

Minnesota Twins (9-7) @ Baltimore Orioles (8-12) (Game 2)

Starting Pitchers: Martin Perez (L) vs. Alex Cobb (R)

  • Minnesota are also road favorites in the second game, with another high total over five.
  • Martin Perez has been interesting this season, limiting hard-contact and he has a 24% strikeout rate. He has abandoned the fastball and sinker for the most part, which has been his weakness.

Los Angeles Dodgers (14-8) @ Milwaukee Brewers (12-9)

Starting Pitchers: Hyun-Jin Ryu (L) vs. Chase Anderson (R)

  • Good spot for both offenses in this one, and Vegas knows it. High over/under here, and both teams are closing in on a five implied total.
  • Tough draw for both pitchers, even though they have been good in limited 2019 starts.

Houston Astros (13-6) @ Texas Rangers (10-8)

Starting Pitchers: Gerrit Cole (R) vs. Adrian Sampson (R)

  • Danny Santana has been filling in for Rougned Odor, and is projected to hit second again.
  • Houston has another high run total, and the front of the lineup delivered last night against Drew Smyly.
  • Adrian Sampson has a .405 xwOBA and 43% hard-contact allowed.
  • Gerrit Cole has the highest strikeout rate on the slate at 37%.

Philadelphia Phillies (11-8) @ Colorado Rockies (8-12)

Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola (R) vs. Antonio Senzatela (R)

  • Andrew McCutchen and Jean Segura are both questionable for today’s game. We could get some value in Coors if they sit out.
  • Aaron Nola continues to scuffle, and Coors won’t make things any easier. He has allowed over a 40% hard-contact rate, and has a 13% walk rate so far this season.
  • Nolan Arenado has heated up the last few games, but his hard-contact has been down to start the season and expected stats are below average.

Cincinnati Reds (7-12) @ San Diego Padres (11-10)

Starting Pitchers: Luis Castillo (R) vs. Eric Lauer (L)

  • Luis Castillo had some pretty severe road splits last season, but looked good in his lone away start against the Dodgers last time out. Great spot for him here against the Padres.
  • Luis Castillo continues to churn out excellent numbers. He has a 33% strikeout rate, and .220 xwOBA. His walk rate of 13% is the only knock on him.
  • Eugenio Suarez is underpriced, and has a 40% hard-contact rate so far this season.

Seattle Mariners (15-8) @ Los Angeles Angels (8-12)

Starting Pitchers: Yusei Kikuchi (L) vs. Trevor Cahill (R)

  • Home runs keep coming for Seattle, although Trevor Cahill has been solid at limiting damage when healthy dating back to last season.
  • Kikuchi has allowed a 38% hard-contact rate so far in the majors, and has a below average strikeout rate of 18%.
  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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