MLB Projected Starting Lineups, Matchups and Injury News 4/23/19

This is a daily post to jumpstart your MLB research for the day. Focusing on matchups, injuries, and lineups you can enhance your knowledge for fantasy, betting, or showing up your friends and family. Follow Lineups on Twitter for live updates on everything you need for sports.


Injury News

  • Robinson Cano sat out again on Monday, but is nearing a return soon. Jeff McNeil and Amed Rosario are all questionable for tonight’s game.
  • Anthony Rendon has missed the last two games with an elbow injury, and will remain questionable for tonight’s game.
  • Elvis Andrus left last night’s game after being HBP. He is listed as day-to-day.
  • Keep an eye on Joey Votto, who is going through some back troubles and missed some time over the weekend.

Today’s MLB Matchups

Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.

Detroit Tigers (10-10) @ Boston Red Sox (9-13) (Game 1)

Starting Pitchers: Matt Boyd (L) vs. Chris Sale (L)

  • Vegas is a little heavy on the Sox, as they are -205 favorites and have a 5.1 implied total. A bit odd despite how poor they have been and how good Matt Boyd has been.
  • Boston are 7-12 as favorites this season, and are 2-5 against left-handed pitching.
  • Matt Boyd has Chris Sale like numbers this year, with a 36% strikeout rate, and is limiting hard-contact to 30%.
  • Sale on the other hand has not pitched like Chris Sale, sitting with a 16% strikeout rate and .377 xwOBA.

Miami Marlins (6-16) @ Cleveland Indians (12-9)

Starting Pitchers: Pablo Lopez (R) vs. Carlos Carrasco (R)

  • Carlos Carrasco seems to be a boom or bust right-hander at the moment. He is striking out bats at a premium rate (36%), but has allowed a 55% hard-contact rate and has a .513 xSLG.
  • Pablo Lopez has figured things out a bit, sitting with a 26% strikeout rate and 3.4% walk rate. He also has hitters with a .292 xwOBA.
  • Cleveland is one of the bigger favorites on the day at -209, and the Marlins have an implied total of 3.1.

Atlanta Braves (11-10) @ Cincinnati Reds (8-13)

Starting Pitchers: Kevin Gausman (R) vs. Sonny Gray (R)

  • Kevin Gausman has been solid since coming back from injury, sitting with a strikeout rate over 30%. Hitters have a .217 xBA against him.
  • Sonny Gray has a 29% strikeout rate, believe it or not, but faces an Atlanta team that doesn’t strikeout more than 20% as their projected lineup shows.
  • Both run totals are nearing five in Cincinnati, as Atlanta will step up in a big park shift.

Arizona Diamondbacks (12-11) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (12-8)

Starting Pitchers: Luke Weaver (R) vs. Trevor Williams (R)

  • Luke Weaver has been trending upwards with a 27% strikeout rate and 5.7% walk rate. Hard-contact is up, but expected stats are below average.
  • Trevor Williams isn’t a big strikeout arm, but has been limiting hard-contact and production to both sides of the plate.
  • Both teams have an implied total under four tonight.

Chicago White Sox (9-12) @ Baltimore Orioles (8-16)

Starting Pitchers: Ivan Nova (R) vs. Andrew Cashner (R)

  • Two subpar strikeout arms are on the hill tonight. Both Andrew Cashner and Ivan Nova are under a 15% strikeout rate to start the season. Cashner is allowing a 50% hard-contact rate.
  • White Sox are slight road favorites, and have an implied total of 5.3.

San Francisco Giants (9-14) @ Toronto Blue Jays (11-12)

Starting Pitchers: Jeff Samardzija (R) vs. Trent Thornton (R)

  • Trent Thornton has started to struggle a bit after a couple of strong outings to start the year. He has a 27% strikeout rate, but a .358 xwOBA and 47% hard-contact allowed.
  • Despite being a poor offense as a whole, Evan Longoria, Buster Posey, and Brandon Belt have over a 40% hard-contact rate this season.

Detroit Tigers (11-10) @ Boston Red Sox (9-14) (Game 2)

Starting Pitchers: Spencer Turnbull (R) vs. Hector Velazquez (R)

  • The Red Sox might be turning to Hector Velazquez more often, as Nathan Eovaldi is going to be out the next two months minimum. So far this season he has allowed under a 30% hard-contact rate, but has mediocre strikeout stuff.
  • Spencer Turnbull has been a strong right-hander, sitting with a 27% strikeout rate and .308 xwOBA.

Kansas City Royals (7-16) @ Tampa Bay Rays (15-8)

Starting Pitchers: Homer Bailey (R) vs. Ryan Stanek (R)

  • Homer Bailey has changed things around a bit, using a nasty splitter 25% of the time. His strikeout rate is up to 29.3% to start the season, but expected stats are fairly average.
  • Despite Bailey’s success this season, Tampa Bay has a 4.7 implied total and are -179 favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies (12-10) @ New York Mets (12-10)

Starting Pitchers: Zach Eflin (R) vs. Zack Wheeler (R)

  • Zach Eflin has been decent this season, after going to a slider heavy approach. Mets have been a pretty good contact team so far, outside of Alonso, Rosario, and Nimmo.
  • We will need to keep an eye on the Mets lineup, as Zach Eflin could get a pretty watered down lineup.

Milwaukee Brewers (13-11) @ St. Louis Cardinals (13-9)

Starting Pitchers: Zach Davies (R) vs. Daniel Ponce de Leon (R)

  • Zach Davies isn’t a big strikeout name, but has limited hard-contact and damage against him. He gets a Cardinals offense that is hitting the ball extremely well right now.
  • Both teams hovering around a 4.5 implied total as this game is close to being a pick’em.

Los Angeles Dodgers (15-9) @ Chicago Cubs (10-10)

Starting Pitchers: Kenta Maeda (R) vs. Jose Quintana (L)

  • Jose Quintana now has a 32% strikeout rate after a couple struggling starts to the season. Tough draw against the Dodgers, who will throw a few platoon bats in the lineup like David Freese and Kike Hernandez.
  • Hitters have just a 19.4% hard-contact rate against Kenta Maeda this season.

Minnesota Twins (13-7) @ Houston Astros (13-9)

Starting Pitchers: Michael Pineda (R) vs. Wade Miley (L)

  • Nelson Cruz is one of the notable right-handed bats against left-handed pitching. He has a 50% hard-contact rate this season and .462 xwOBA.
  • Michel Pineda has positive expected stats, and pin-point control, but this is a potential blowup spot against a heavy power lineup in Houston.

Washington Nationals (10-11) @ Colorado Rockies (10-13)

Starting Pitchers: Patrick Corbin (L) vs. Jeff Hoffman (R)

  • Patrick Corbin will walk into Coors and try and shut down an offense that has been underperforming a bit to start the season. He relies heavily on his slider, and still carries over a 30% strikeout rate.
  • Corbin will need to work around Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story, who were two top bats against left-handed pitching last season.

New York Yankees (12-10) @ Los Angeles Angels (9-14)

Starting Pitchers: Domingo German (R) vs. Chris Stratton (R)

  • Chris Stratton has a 15% walk rate and 12% strikeout rate this season, and hitters have a .365 xwOBA.

Texas Rangers (12-9) @ Oakland Athletics (12-13)

Starting Pitchers: Lance Lynn (R) vs. Frankie Montas (R)

  • Frankie Montas has been good this season, with a strong split finger and slider that he throws nearly 50% of time combined. He is limiting expected stats, and Montas is the bright spot in the Oakland rotation.

Seattle Mariners (16-9) @ San Diego Padres (12-11)

Starting Pitchers: Erik Swanson (R) vs. Nick Margevicius (L)

  • Erik Swanson is a young prosepect, who has a 29% strikeout rate, he is making a start against the Padres tonight. He throws his fastball a bit too much for my liking at 70%, but has some strikeout upside against the Padres.
  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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