MLB Projected Starting Lineups, Matchups and Injury News 4/25/19

This is a daily post to jumpstart your MLB research for the day. Focusing on matchups, injuries, and lineups you can enhance your knowledge for fantasy, betting, or showing up your friends and family. Follow Lineups on Twitter for live updates on everything you need for sports.


Injury News

  • Zack Cozart was scratched last night with a neck injury, and is day-to-day.
  • Elvis Andrus and Jay Bruce are both questionable in tonight’s meeting between Seattle and Texas

Today’s MLB Matchups

Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.

Arizona Diamondbacks (14-11) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (12-10)

Starting Pitchers: Zack Greinke (R) vs. Jamison Taillon (R)

  • Some light rain in the area of this game, but it should play through given there isn’t severe rain in the forecast.
  • Low scoring game projected with these two arms on the mound. Both implied totals are under four.
  • Zack Greinke has a 27% strikeout rate this season, and hard-contact against him is just at 33%.
  • Despite a pitching change last season to more of a slider heavy approach, Jamison Taillon hasn’t doctored up the strikeouts in 2019.

Los Angeles Dodgers (15-11) @ Chicago Cubs (12-10)

Starting Pitchers: Ross Stripling (R) vs. Jon Lester (L)

  • Jon Lester is making his first start off the IL, and has a .383 xwOBA and 44% hard-contact allowed.
  • Ross Stripling has a 22% strikeout rate this season, and hitters have a .297 xwOBA.
  • Kris Bryant’s hard-contact is sitting at just 27% so far this season, and he has a .222 xBA.

Atlanta Braves (12-11) @ Cincinnati Reds (9-14)

Starting Pitchers: Julio Teheran (R) vs. Luis Castillo (R)

  • This is the game that is more troubling for weather, and rain is in the forecast for most of the evening. This is a PPD threat.
  • Most were worried about his road starts, and he passed the test facing San Diego and Los Angeles. Castillo continues to be one of the best arms in baseball to start 2019. He has a 34% hard-contact rate, and .222 xwOBA allowed.
  • Julio Teheran on the flip side has allowed a 46% hard-contact rate.

Miami Marlins (7-17) @ Philadelphia Phillies (13-11)

Starting Pitchers: Caleb Smith (L) vs. Aaron Nola (R)

  • The Phillies are -192 favorites tonight, trying to get back on track against the Marlins. Miami has the lowest implied total on the board.
  • Caleb Smith has a filthy slider and changeup, bringing his strikeout rate over 30% to start the season. Miami’s staff has been sneaky good, and Smith is holding them to under a 20% hard-contact rate.
  • Aaron Nola hasn’t been his 2018 self, allowing a 47% hard-contact rate and 10.5% walk rate. Good spot for him to get right though.

Detroit Tigers (12-11) @ Boston Red Sox (10-15)

Starting Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann (R) vs. Rick Porcello (R)

  • Regardless of the Boston start to the season, they are -186 favorites and have an implied total over 5.5.
  • Rick Porcello has a 16% strikeout rate and 15% walk rate. Really not much difference from Jordan Zimmermann right now. Both come in struggling to start the season.
  • In a small sample size, newly called up Michael Chavis has a 50% hard-contact rate and .572 xSLG.

Cleveland Indians (13-10) @ Houston Astros (15-9)

Starting Pitchers: Trevor Bauer (R) vs. Gerrit Cole (R)

  • We are in for a real treat if you like pitching. Trevor Bauer and Gerrit Cole square off, leaving very little hope for offense in this game.
  • Both have over a 30% strikeout rate to start the season, and are posting nearly identical expected stats.
  • George Springer has a 59% strikeout rate to start the season, and an xwOBA over .400.

New York Yankees (14-10) @ Los Angeles Angels (9-16)

Starting Pitchers: Masahiro Tanaka (R) vs. Trevor Cahill (R)

  • The Yankees are slight road favorites again, and take on a scuffling Trevor Cahill in Los Angeles.
  • After having a few decent seasons when healthy, Trevor Cahill isn’t posting the same numbers. He is allowing over a 40% hard-contact rate and .528 xSLG.
  • Masahiro Tanaka has a more average strikeout rate this season, and takes on an Angels team striking out less than 20% against right-handed pitching.

Texas Rangers (12-11) @ Seattle Mariners (16-11)

Starting Pitchers: Taylor Hearn (L) vs. Marco Gonzales (L)

  • Seattle come in as big home favorites at -154, and Texas has a 3.8 implied total.
  • Marco Gonzales continues to be an arm that limits damage, and hitters have a .293 xwOBA. Not the best strikeout arm, but good spot for him here.
  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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