MLB Projected Starting Lineups, Matchups and Injury News 4/27/19

This is a daily post to jumpstart your MLB research for the day. Focusing on matchups, injuries, and lineups you can enhance your knowledge for fantasy, betting, or showing up your friends and family. Follow Lineups on Twitter for live updates on everything you need for sports.


Injury News

  • Eloy Jimenez left last night’s game with an ankle sprain, and is listed as day-to-day at the moment.
  • Lucas Duda hit the 10-day IL with a back strain.
  • Freddy Galvis is dealing with a hamstring injury, and has been out since last week.

Today’s MLB Matchups

Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.

Baltimore Orioles (10-17) @ Minnesota Twins (14-9)

Starting Pitchers: Dan Straily (R) vs. Jose Berrios (R)

  • Minnesota are heavy -248 favorites again, and they have an implied total over five. Jose Berrios is a terrific DFS option on the early slate.
  • Berrios has a 25% strikeout rate this season, and hitters have just an average exit velocity of 35%.
  • Dan Straily might be the worst pitcher on the slate, allowing a 53% hard-contact rate and sub 10% strikeout rate.

Cincinnati Reds (11-14) @ St. Louis Cardinals (15-10)

Starting Pitchers: Tyler Mahle (R) vs. Dakota Hudson (R)

  • The Cardinals are slight home favorites, but do have an implied total near five.
  • Cincinnati is coming off a big game, and are in a good spot again against Dakota Hudson. He has allowed a 49% hard-contact rate, and hitters have a .570 xSLG.

Oakland Athletics (14-14) @ Toronto Blue Jays (12-14)

Starting Pitchers: Brett Anderson (L) vs. Aaron Sanchez (R)

  • Vegas sees this one as a pick’em, and we also have Vladimir Guerrero Jr batting fourth instead of fifth.
  • Brett Anderson is on the hill, and while he doesn’t have great stuff, he has been limiting opposing bats, unlike Aaron Sanchez.

Tampa Bay Rays (16-9) @ Boston Red Sox (11-15)

Starting Pitchers: Charlie Morton (R) vs. David Price (L)

  • Yesterday’s game was PPD, and Tampa pushed Charlie Morton back to today. David Price will draw the start for Boston, as a slight -131 home favorite.
  • David Price has a 32% strikeout rate this season, and hitters have just a .286 xwOBA. Morton is in the same boat, allowing a .283 xwOBA and 30% strikeout rate.

San Diego Padres (15-11) @ Washington Nationals (11-13)

Starting Pitchers: Eric Lauer (L) vs. Stephen Strasburg (R)

  • Good strikeout spot for Stephen Strasburg, and the Nationals are heavy home favorites again at -168. Strasburg has a 31% strikeout rate this season.
  • The Nationals had Anthony Rendon and Ryan Zimmerman back in the lineup yesterday. This will help against the lefty, Lauer today.

New York Yankees (15-11) @ San Francisco Giants (11-15)

Starting Pitchers: J.A. Happ (L) vs. Derek Holland (L)

  • Another low total game, as both are under a four implied total. Vegas is looking at this one as a pick’em.
  • J.A. Happ has been sluggish to start the season, allowing a 39% hard-contact rate and .367 xwOBA. Derek Holland has had strikeout stuff with a 30% strikeout rate, but is allowing a .507 xSLG.

Cleveland Indians (15-10) @ Houston Astros (15-11)

Starting Pitchers: Shane Bieber (R) vs. Brad Peacock (R)

  • Houston has a sneaky 5.1 implied total against Shane Bieber, as the Astros look to get back to their winning ways.
  • Shane Bieber has a 26% strikeout rate, but hard-contact is up and so are the expected stats. Brad Peacock has hitters with a .255 xwOBA.

Miami Marlins (8-18) @ Philadelphia Phillies (14-12)

Starting Pitchers: Trevor Richards (R) vs. Jake Arrieta (R)

  • Philadelphia has Jake Arrieta on the mound, taking on a poor Miami offense. They are -174 favorites, and Miami has one of the lowest team totals on the slate.
  • Jake Arrieta was able to shut down this offense last time out, but his strikeout stuff is still pedestrian sitting below 20%.

Milwaukee Brewers (14-13) @ New York Mets (13-12)

Starting Pitchers: Brandon Woodruff (R) vs. Noah Syndergaard (R)

  • Jacob deGrom was roughed up last night, and Noah Syndergaard will try and turn it around for the Mets as a -131 home favorite.
  • Syndergaard has checked all the boxes this season, allowing less than a 30% hard-contact rate, and has a 28% strikeout rate.

Los Angeles Angels (11-16) @ Kansas City Royals (8-18)

Starting Pitchers: Jaime Barria (R) vs. Jorge Lopez (R)

  • It is a cold and windy game in KC with winds blowing in a bit. Vegas still has both team totals set for over 4.5.
  • Jaime Barria is a slider happy arm, throwing it over 50% of the time. Jorge Lopez uses his curveball over 30% of the time, and has the better strikeout rate.

Colorado Rockies (12-14) @ Atlanta Braves (12-13)

Starting Pitchers: Jon Gray (R) vs. Mike Foltynewicz (R)

  • Mike Foltynewicz is making his first start of 2019 after being injured for the first few weeks. Folty had a 27% strikeout rate last season, and hitters had a .275 xwOBA.
  • Jon Gray has allowed a 49% hard-contact rate this season, and has a 24% strikeout rate.

Chicago Cubs (12-12) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (16-11)

Starting Pitchers: Yu Darvish (R) vs. Zack Godley (R)

  • Rather high totals on both sides, as Yu Darvish and Zack Godley make the start. Chicago are slight road favorites.
  • Yu Darvish has a 17% walk rate this season, and it doesn’t even come with his usual strikeout rate.
  • Zack Godley has been regressing since last season, and hitters have a .387 xwOBA and sub 20% strikeout rate.

Texas Rangers (12-13) @ Seattle Mariners (18-11)

Starting Pitchers: Mike Minor (L) vs. Mike Leake (R)

  • Vegas sets this one as a pick’em, as Texas heads into Seattle again. Mike Minor has been the only respectable pitcher for Texas this season.
  • Hitters have just a .287 xwOBA off Minor this season, Mike Leake has allowed a 43% hard-contact rate and .383 xwOBA.

Pittsburgh Pirates (12-12) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (17-11)

Starting Pitchers: Joe Musgrove (R) vs. Clayton Kershaw (L)

  • Los Angeles is a massive -221 favorite with Clayton Kershaw on the hill. The Pirates have just an implied total of three.
  • Kershaw has looked like his usual self since coming back, and while the velocity is down, his strikeout rate is at 27% and hard-contact sits at 22%.
  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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