MLB Projected Starting Lineups, Matchups and Injury News 4/30/19

This is a daily post to jumpstart your MLB research for the day. Focusing on matchups, injuries, and lineups you can enhance your knowledge for fantasy, betting, or showing up your friends and family. Follow Lineups on Twitter for live updates on everything you need for sports.

Injury News

  • Tyson Ross is on paternity leave, and Spencer Turnbull will draw the start.
  • Fernando Tatis is in the projected lineup, but is still questionable.
  • Christian Yelich has mentioned some back problems, and sat out yesterday.
  • The Yankee injuries keep on coming, and DJ LeMahieu is questionable for tonight’s game.
  • Mitch Haniger is questionable for tonight’s game.

Today’s MLB Matchups

Underneath each game you will find game and lineup notes, alongside betting and fantasy tips. Clicking into each team will bring you to their team hub where you can look at news, stats, projected lineups, schedule, and more.

St. Louis Cardinals (18-10) @ Washington Nationals (12-15)

Starting Pitchers: Adam Wainwright (R) vs. Anibal Sanchez (R)

  • Washington dropped another last night, and are 3-7 in their last ten games. St. Louis remains hot winning eight of their last ten games.
  • The Cardinals are a small road favorite tonight, and both implied totals are over 4.5.
  • Adam Wainwright has allowed a 49% hard-contact rate so far this season.

Detroit Tigers (12-14) @ Philadelphia Phillies (16-12)

Starting Pitchers: Spencer Turnbull (R) vs. Vince Velasquez (R)

  • The Phillies will welcome Detroit and are 11-5 at home this season.
  • Vince Velasquez is a big home favorite, and has held hitters to under a 30% hard-contact rate. Love him today against the Tigers. There is one bat below a 20% strikeout rate in the lineup.
  • Spencer Turnbull is a lesser matchup for Philly, given he hasn’t allowed a ton of hard-contact and has had solid expected stats.

Cleveland Indians (15-12) @ Miami Marlins (8-20)

Starting Pitchers: Trevor Bauer (R) vs. Sandy Alcantara (R)

  • The Indians are -195 road favorites, and Miami sit with a 2.9 implied total against Trevor Bauer.
  • Bauer has a 28% strikeout rate this season, but has also been a little wild with a 12% walk rate.
  • Sandy Alcantara has been one of the few bright spots in the Miami rotation. He is holding hitters to under a 30% hard-contact rate, but hasn’t had much strikeout stuff.

Oakland Athletics (14-17) @ Boston Red Sox (12-17)

Starting Pitchers: Aaron Brooks (R) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (L)

  • After a hot start to the season, the A’s are now 3-7 in their last ten games.
  • Boston is favored a bit more than yesterday, as they are -164 favorites.
  • Both arms have been subpar this season. Aaron Brooks and Rick Porcello have allowed over a 40% hard-contact rate and have allowed over a .490 xSLG.
  • Michael Chavis has a 40% hard-contact rate since coming up, and a .550 xSLG.

Cincinnati Reds (12-16) @ New York Mets (14-14)

Starting Pitchers: Luis Castillo (R) vs. Jason Vargas (L)

  • The Reds are small road favorites against the Mets. Even against Jason Vargas, their run total is below 4.5.
  • Luis Castillo has been one of the better arms in baseball this season. He has held hitters to a 31% hard-contact rate, and has a 30% strikeout rate.
  • Jason Vargas has allowed over a 40% hard-contact rate, and hitters have a .606 xSLG.

San Diego Padres (16-13) @ Atlanta Braves (14-14)

Starting Pitchers: Chris Paddack (R) vs. Julio Teheran (R)

  • This game is looking to be close to a pick’em, as Chris Paddack will look to tame a pretty good Atlanta offense.
  • Julio Teheran hasn’t been that bad this season, but is an average right-hander allowing over a 40% hard-contact rate.
  • Chris Paddack continues to dazzle in his rookie season. He has a 30% strikeout rate, and hitters have a .241 xwOBA.

Houston Astros (17-12) @ Minnesota Twins (17-9)

Starting Pitchers: Gerrit Cole (R) vs. Michael Pineda (R)

  • Minnesota remains red hot winning their fourth straight, and are 8-2 in their last ten games. Houston has scuffled a little bit, and have been a sub .500 road team.
  • We saw this matchup last time out, and Michael Pineda has poor expected stats and can give up the long ball in a hurry. Cole has a 36% strikeout rate.
  • Nelson Cruz and George Springer are two names with over a 50% hard-contact rate this season.

Colorado Rockies (13-16) @ Milwaukee Brewers (16-14)

Starting Pitchers: German Marquez (R) vs. Jhoulys Chacin (R)

  • The Rockies are slight-slight favorites against the Brewers, who might be without Christian Yelich. German Marquez takes the hill, and hitters have .304 xwOBA against him.
  • Jhoulys Chacin has allowed over a 40% hard-contact rate, but hitters have just a .220 xBA. He has struggled with lefties, and Colorado might be without David Dahl.

Pittsburgh Pirates (12-14) @ Texas Rangers (14-13)

Starting Pitchers: Jordan Lyles (R) vs. Adrian Sampson (R)

  • Texas is back at home where they are 10-4 this season, and where their offense turns for the better. Pittsburgh comes in losing eight of their last ten games.
  • Josh Bell has a .571 xSLG this season and 53% hard-contact rate. He leads the Pirates in those categories.
  • Adrian Sampson has allowed a 41% hard-contact rate and .382 xwOBA.

Baltimore Orioles (10-20) @ Chicago White Sox (12-14)

Starting Pitchers: Andrew Cashner (R) vs. Ivan Nova (R)

  • Ivan Nova and the White Sox are -146 home favorites, and the Sox have over five implied total runs.
  • Yoan Moncada has been breaking out this season, and .608 xSLG this season. His strikeout rate is also down to 22.6%.
  • Both Ivan Nova and Andrew Cashner are gas cans, allowing over a .350 xwOBA and have a sub 20% strikeout rate.

Tampa Bay Rays (19-9) @ Kansas City Royals (9-20)

Starting Pitchers: Blake Snell (L) vs. Jake Junis (R)

  • The Royals are monster -174 favorites, and the Royals have an implied total below four.
  • Tommy Pham has been mashing with a 58% hard-contact rate. His 16% walk rate is also higher than his 15% strikeout rate.
  • Great matchup for Blake Snell, who has a 38% strikeout rate this season, and hitters have a .236 xwOBA.

New York Yankees (17-11) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (16-13)

Starting Pitchers: C.C. Sabathia (L) vs. Zack Greinke (R)

  • The Yankees are 9-1 in their last ten games, and are 9-4 on the road this season.
  • Zack Greinke is still allowing a ton of hard-contact, but has been pitching well with a 28% strikeout rate and 4.9% walk rate.
  • C.C. Sabathia is just going to keep allowing weak contact, and limit damage. Christian Walker is a name to watch out for with his 58% hard-contact rate.

Los Angeles Dodgers (19-12) @ San Francisco Giants (12-17)

Starting Pitchers: Walker Buehler (R) vs. Drew Pomeranz (L)

  • The Dodgers are once again road favorites against SF, and the Giants have the second lowest implied total on the slate.
  • Drew Pomeranz has a 27% strikeout rate this season, and hitters have league average expected stats against him. He has certainly gotten healthy.
  • Walker Buehler has less than a 20% strikeout rate this season, but hitters have just a .259 xBA against him.

Toronto Blue Jays (14-14) @ Los Angeles Angels (12-17)

Starting Pitchers: Clay Buchholz (R) vs. Griffin Canning (R)

  • Los Angeles has an implied total near five, and once again Vegas thinks this offense is even close to league average.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr will make his road debut, and has a 44% hard-contact rate so far in his short MLB career.
  • Griffin Canning is making his MLB debut. He has had some decent strikeout stuff in the minors, but has a bit of a control issue at times.

Chicago Cubs (14-14) @ Seattle Mariners (12-17)

Starting Pitchers: Cole Hamels (L) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)

  • Chicago has looked sneaky good lately, and are 7-3 in their last ten games.
  • Felix Hernandez has allowed over a 40% hard-contact, and so has Cole Hamels. Hernandez has a tough matchup against the Cubs, who are clicking right now.
  • Javier Baez leads the Cubs in hard-contact with 54%.
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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