Predictions for Nationals vs. Diamondbacks: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 20

Thursday’s contest that pits the Washington Nationals (36-37) against the Arizona Diamondbacks (36-38) at Nationals Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Nationals. First pitch is at 1:05 PM ET on June 20.

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Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Info

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Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Nationals -143 +120 9 +100 -120

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Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has been victorious in six of the nine contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Nationals have played as a favorite of -143 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of 73 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Nationals had a 3-2 record in the five games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Washington combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has a 14-22 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 38.9% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Diamondbacks have gone 3-8 (27.3%).
  • Arizona has played in 74 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 35 times (35-36-3).
  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and went 3-3 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Arizona and its opponents are 10-5-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore

  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.24, a 3.96 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.320 in 14 games this season.
  • When MacKenzie Gore starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-1.
  • Gore’s team is 7-7 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Gore have a 6-5-3 record at hitting the over this season.

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson

  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.49, with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 12 games this season. Opponents have a .318 batting average against him.
  • The Diamondbacks have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Nelson’s starts this season, and they went 1-7 in those matchups.
  • Nelson’s team has compiled a 4-7 record in his 11 starts.
  • Nelson’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in three of 11 contests.

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Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 36-37
Home 17-18
Road 19-19
One-Run Games 6-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-6

Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 36-38
Home 19-18
Road 17-20
One-Run Games 11-7
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-6

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