Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 2

Tuesday’s game at Nationals Park has the Washington Nationals (39-45) going head to head against the New York Mets (41-41) at 6:45 PM ET (on July 2). Our computer prediction projects a close 6-5 win for the Nationals, so expect a tight matchup.

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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Mets 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Mets vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -148 +124 9 -118 -102

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 22, or 52.4%, of the 42 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Mets have come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 44 of 82 opportunities.
  • The Mets went 5-4 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to go over the total 10 times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has a 31-40 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.7% of those games).
  • The Nationals have a 20-28 record (winning 41.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
  • Washington has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 84 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 39 of those games (39-41-4).
  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents are 7-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea

  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with a 3.89 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .230.
  • Sean Manaea’s team has a record of 5-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Manaea’s team has won nine of his 15 starts this season.
  • Games started by Manaea have a 7-8-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: DJ Herz

  • Over five games this season, the 23-year-old has a 5.48 ERA and 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .278 to his opponents.
  • The Nationals are 1-2 in Herz’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Herz’s five starts, his team is 3-2.
  • DJ Herz has had five starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those outings.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 41-41
Home 21-25
Road 20-16
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-13

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-45
Home 17-20
Road 22-25
One-Run Games 7-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-11

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