Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 3

Wednesday’s game between the Washington Nationals (39-46) and the New York Mets (42-41) at Nationals Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Nationals taking home the win. First pitch is at 6:45 PM ET on July 3.

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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Mets vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -155 +130 8.5 -120 +100

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 23 wins in the 43 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Mets have come away with a win three times in five chances when named as a favorite of at least -155 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of 83 opportunities.
  • The Mets went 5-4 across the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total 10 times (all 15 games had set totals).

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has won 31 of the 72 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (43.1%).
  • The Nationals have gone 17-25 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer (40.5%).
  • Washington has played in 85 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-41-5).
  • In nine games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 2-7.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents are 7-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott

  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.90 and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .233 in five games this season.
  • Christian Scott’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Scott’s team has won one of his five starts this season.
  • Out of Scott’s five starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Mitchell Parker

  • The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.32, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season. Opponents are hitting .233 against him.
  • The Nationals are 6-6 in Parker’s 12 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Parker’s team has won seven of his 14 starts.
  • Parker’s starts went over the run total seven times in 14 games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-41
Home 21-25
Road 21-16
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-13

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-46
Home 17-21
Road 22-25
One-Run Games 7-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-11

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