Predictions for Nationals vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 26

Wednesday’s contest that pits the San Diego Padres (43-41) against the Washington Nationals (38-41) at PETCO Park is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Padres. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET on June 26.

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Nationals vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Nationals vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Nationals vs. Padres Betting Lines

Nationals vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Nationals -125 +105 7.5 -115 -105

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Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has won eight, or 61.5%, of the 13 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Nationals have come away with a win six times in nine chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of 79 opportunities.
  • The Nationals went 5-3 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Washington combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total eight times.

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego is 17-18 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 48.6% of those games).
  • The Padres are 7-9 (winning 43.8% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
  • San Diego has had an over/under set by bookmakers 84 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 44 of those games (44-39-1).
  • The Padres have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 9-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Nationals vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: DJ Herz

  • The 23-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 4.50, a 5.2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.333.
  • DJ Herz’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Herz’s team has a 3-1 record in his starts this season.
  • In Herz’s four starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease

  • During 16 games this season, the 28-year-old has put up a 4.14 ERA and 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .216 to opposing hitters.
  • The Padres were named the moneyline underdog for two Dylan Cease starts this season — they split the games.
  • Cease’s team has a 9-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Cease has had 16 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those games finished over the total.

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Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 38-41
Home 17-19
Road 21-22
One-Run Games 7-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 25-9

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-41
Home 23-22
Road 20-19
One-Run Games 10-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 33-4

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