Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat NBA Player Props & Picks (11/16/23)

Can Bam Adebayo stay hot and help extend the Heat’s winning streak to seven games? Check out the Brooklyn Nets Vs. Miami Heat player props selections below to see which players we believe will play above or below their expectations!

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It might not be an In-Season Tournament game, but Brooklyn and Miami could both use a win to propel them further up the Eastern Conference standings. The Nets are 6-5 and three games back from first place, while the Heat are 7-4 and just two games back from Boston, who is atop the east.

Bam Adebayo o22.5 Points (+100)

Bam Adebayo has a perfect combination for hitting an Over heading into this game against Brooklyn: a great matchup and fantastic recent play. Adebayo has cleared this line in three of his past four games while also posting outrageous rebounding, assist, block, and steal statistics.

Miami boasts a 6-0 record in its past six games, and Adebayo is a huge reason why that is the case; he has stepped up offensively, and his usage rate has increased nearly 2% during this stretch versus his average last year. These are all good signs for a continual increase in output.

Now, let’s address the Brooklyn Nets. While Nic Claxton is a formidable rim protector, the Brooklyn Nets are generally undersized; they have no frontcourt players taller than 6-foot-9, including Claxton. This is a major advantage for Adebayo, who is an undersized center himself. However, Adebayo is substantially stronger than Claxton and Cameron Johnson, who will likely play at the four. Let’s keep riding Bam’s momentum in this spot, especially at plus money.

Duncan Robinson u3.5 Threes (-105)

Here’s another near plus-money bet: Duncan Robinson under 3.5 three-pointers (-105.) Robinson has slid into the starting lineup in the absence of Tyler Herro, who has missed the past three games with a sprained ankle, which he suffered against Memphis. In the three games that Robinson has started, he hit four three-pointers in two of them and only hit one three-pointer in the other.

Based on the volume (nine 3PAs since entering the starting lineup), one might think that Robinson has a pretty solid chance at hitting the Over in this spot, so why are we on the other side?

For one, Robinson has struggled a bit against Brooklyn throughout his career. As a matter of fact, he has shot just over 30% from behind the arc in 97 attempts throughout a 17-game stretch against the Nets. Additionally, he has only had one game out of those 17 bouts where he hit the over on this line.

While trends don’t play quite as much of a factor as some other statistics and matchup projections when we are researching player props, this is hard to ignore. Robinson faces an even more uphill battle in this spot, considering the Nets allow the fourth-lowest three-point percentage to opposing teams so far this season (33.3%.)

Lastly, there is also a strong possibility that Brooklyn slides Mikal Bridges to the two-guard spot and puts him on Robinson, which is not an ideal matchup for the marksman. If Bridges is shadowing Duncan all game long, he won’t get many clean looks.

Bam Adebayo Over 0.5 Steal + Over 0.5 Block – SGP (+108)

Needless to say, we are high on Bam Adebayo in this matchup. Any avid NBA fan knows that Adebayo has been casually throwing shade at other DPOY candidates and winners, like Jaren Jackson Jr., insinuating that he is the “actual DPOY.” It’s a “between the lines” sort of deal, evidenced by the below post.

Either way, Adebayo has been phenomenal on the defensive end of the floor, especially in the past five games, where he has averaged 2.2 steals and 1.6 blocks per game. Further, he would have hit the over on both of these legs in four of his past five outings. Not too bad for a plus-money bet.

Besides Claxton as a lob threat, the Nets don’t have many above-the-rim players, meaning Adebayo should have an athletic (and size) advantage on most penetrators. Brooklyn has also averaged the ninth-most turnovers in its past three games in the NBA, leaving plenty of room for Bam to pick up a steal with his lightning-quick hands.

Bam really posted the pic of him getting a bucket on Jaren on his IG story Lol pic.twitter.com/cFjfk613mr

— HEAT NATION (@Zachppp) November 10, 2023

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